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A nomogram for predicting malignant cerebral artery infarction in the modern thrombectomy era

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机构: [1]Capital Med Univ, Xuanwu Hosp, Dept Neurol, Beijing, Peoples R China [2]Capital Med Univ, Xuanwu Hosp, Beijing Key Lab Hypox Conditioning Translat Med, Beijing, Peoples R China [3]Capital Med Univ, Xuanwu Hosp, Dept Neurosurg, Beijing, Peoples R China [4]Capital Med Univ, Xuanwu Hosp, Dept Emergency, Beijing, Peoples R China [5]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Inst Brain Disorders, Collaborat Innovat Ctr Brain Disorders, Lab Brain Disorders, Beijing, Peoples R China
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关键词: ischemic stroke thrombectomy malignant brain edema nomogram

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ObjectiveThis study aimed to develop and validate a nomogram to predict malignant cerebral artery infarction (MMI) after endovascular treatment (EVT) in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) in the modern thrombectomy era. MethodsWe retrospectively analyzed data from a prospective cohort of consecutive patients with AIS who underwent EVT at Xuanwu hospital between January 2013 and June 2021. A multivariable logistic regression model was employed to construct the nomogram for predicting MMI after EVT. The discrimination and calibration of the nomogram were assessed both in the derivation and validation cohorts. ResultsA total of 605 patients were enrolled in this study, with 425 in the derivation cohort and 180 in the validation cohort. The nomogram was developed based on admission systolic blood pressure (SBP), the National Institute of Health Stroke Score (NIHSS), the Alberta Stroke Program Early Computed Tomography Score (ASPECTS), vessel occlusion site, EVT time window, and recanalization status. The nomogram displayed good discrimination with the area under the receiver operating characteristics (ROCs) curve (AUC) of 0.783 [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.726-0.840] in the derivation cohort and 0.806 (95% CI, 0.738-0.874) in the validation cohort. The calibration of the nomogram was good as well, with the Hosmer-Lemeshow test of p = 0.857 in the derivation cohort and p = 0.275 in the validation cohort. ConclusionIn the modern thrombectomy era, a nomogram containing admission SBP, NIHSS, ASPECTS, vessel occlusion site, EVT time window, and recanalization status may predict the risk of MMI after EVT in patients with AIS.

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基金编号: Z201100006820143 82001257 81801313 81971114 KM202110025018

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出版当年[2021]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 临床神经病学 3 区 神经科学
最新[2023]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 临床神经病学 3 区 神经科学
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出版当年[2020]版:
Q2 NEUROSCIENCES Q2 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY
最新[2023]版:
Q2 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY Q3 NEUROSCIENCES

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2020版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2019版] 出版后一年[2021版]

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第一作者机构: [1]Capital Med Univ, Xuanwu Hosp, Dept Neurol, Beijing, Peoples R China
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通讯机构: [1]Capital Med Univ, Xuanwu Hosp, Dept Neurol, Beijing, Peoples R China [2]Capital Med Univ, Xuanwu Hosp, Beijing Key Lab Hypox Conditioning Translat Med, Beijing, Peoples R China [3]Capital Med Univ, Xuanwu Hosp, Dept Neurosurg, Beijing, Peoples R China [4]Capital Med Univ, Xuanwu Hosp, Dept Emergency, Beijing, Peoples R China [5]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Inst Brain Disorders, Collaborat Innovat Ctr Brain Disorders, Lab Brain Disorders, Beijing, Peoples R China
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