资源类型:
期刊
WOS体系:
Article
Pubmed体系:
Journal Article
收录情况:
◇ SCIE
文章类型:
论著
机构:
[1]Gastroenterology Department, Xuanwu Hospital Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
内科系统
消化科
首都医科大学宣武医院
[2]Internal Medicine Department, Beijing Puren Hospital, Beijing, China.
ISSN:
1807-5932
关键词:
Acute respiratory distress syndrome
Acute pancreatitis
Machine learning
Prediction model
摘要:
Acute Respiratory Distress syndrome (ARDS) is a common complication of Acute Pancreatitis (AP) and is associated with high mortality. This study used Machine Learning (ML) to predict ARDS in patients with AP at admission.The authors retrospectively analyzed the data from patients with AP from January 2017 to August 2022. Clinical and laboratory parameters with significant differences between patients with and without ARDS were screened by univariate analysis. Then, Support Vector Machine (SVM), Ensembles of Decision Trees (EDTs), Bayesian Classifier (BC), and nomogram models were constructed and optimized after feature screening based on these parameters. Five-fold cross-validation was used to train each model. A test set was used to evaluate the predictive performance of the four models.A total of 83 (18.04%) of 460 patients with AP developed ARDS. Thirty-one features with significant differences between the groups with and without ARDS in the training set were used for modeling. The Partial Pressure of Oxygen (PaO2), C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, lactic acid, Ca2+, the neutrophil:lymphocyte ratio, white blood cell count, and amylase were identified as the optimal subset of features. The BC algorithm had the best predictive performance with the highest AUC value (0.891) than SVM (0.870), EDTs (0.813), and the nomogram (0.874) in the test set. The EDT algorithm achieved the highest accuracy (0.891), precision (0.800), and F1 score (0.615), but the lowest FDR (0.200) and the second-highest NPV (0.902).A predictive model of ARDS complicated by AP was successfully developed based on ML. Predictive performance was evaluated by a test set, for which BC showed superior predictive performance and EDTs could be a more promising prediction tool for larger samples.Copyright © 2023 HCFMUSP. Published by Elsevier España, S.L.U. All rights reserved.
被引次数:
4
WOS:
WOS:001029242300001
PubmedID:
37196588
中科院(CAS)分区:
出版当年[2022]版:
大类
|
4 区
医学
小类
|
4 区
医学:内科
最新[2023]版:
大类
|
4 区
医学
小类
|
4 区
医学:内科
JCR分区:
出版当年[2021]版:
Q3
MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL
最新[2023]版:
Q2
MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL
影响因子:
2.2
最新[2023版]
2.4
最新五年平均
2.898
出版当年[2021版]
2.796
出版当年五年平均
2.365
出版前一年[2020版]
2.7
出版后一年[2022版]
第一作者:
Zhang Mengran
第一作者机构:
[1]Gastroenterology Department, Xuanwu Hospital Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
通讯作者:
Pang Mingge
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
Zhang Mengran,Pang Mingge.Early prediction of acute respiratory distress syndrome complicated by acute pancreatitis based on four machine learning models[J].CLINICS.2023,78:doi:10.1016/j.clinsp.2023.100215.
APA:
Zhang Mengran&Pang Mingge.(2023).Early prediction of acute respiratory distress syndrome complicated by acute pancreatitis based on four machine learning models.CLINICS,78,
MLA:
Zhang Mengran,et al."Early prediction of acute respiratory distress syndrome complicated by acute pancreatitis based on four machine learning models".CLINICS 78.(2023)