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Representation of time-varying and time-invariant EMR data and its application in modeling outcome prediction for heart failure patients

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机构: [1]School of Biomedical Engineering, Capital Medical University, No.10, Xitoutiao, You An Men, Fengtai District, Beijing 100069, China [2]Beijing Key Laboratory of Fundamental Research on Biomechanics in Clinical Application, Capital Medical University, No.10, Xitoutiao, You An Men, Fengtai District, [3]Information Center, Xuanwu Hospital, Capital Medical University, No.45 Changchun Street, Xicheng District, Beijing 100053, China
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关键词: Patient representation Transformer Long short-term memory Time-varying data Outcome prediction

摘要:
To represent a patient record with both time-invariant and time-varying features as a single vector using an end-to-end deep learning model, and further to predict the kidney failure (KF) status and mortality of heart failure (HF) patients.The time-invariant EMR data included demographic information and comorbidities, and the time-varying EMR data were lab tests. We used a Transformer encoder module to represent the time-invariant data, and refined a long short-term memory (LSTM) with a Transformer encoder attached to the top to represent the time-varying data, taking the original measured values and their corresponding embedding vectors, masking vectors, and two types of time intervals as inputs. The proposed representations of patients with time-invariant and time-varying data were used to predict KF status (949 out of 5268 HF patients diagnosed with KF) and mortality (463 in-hospital deaths) for HF patients. Comparative experiments were conducted between the proposed model and some representative machine learning models. Ablation experiments were also performed around the time-varying data representation, including replacing the refined LSTM with the standard LSTM, GRU-D and T-LSTM, respectively, and removing the Transformer encoder and the time-varying data representation module, respectively. The visualization of the attention weights of the time-invariant and time-varying features was used to clinically interpret the predictive performance. We used the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), the area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC), and the F1-score to evaluate the predictive performance of the models.The proposed model achieved superior performance, with average AUROCs, AUPRCs and F1-scores of 0.960, 0.610 and 0.759 for KF prediction and 0.937, 0.353 and 0.537 for mortality prediction, respectively. Predictive performance improved with the addition of time-varying data from longer time periods. The proposed model outperformed the comparison and ablation references in both prediction tasks.Both time-invariant and time-varying EMR data of patients could be efficiently represented by the proposed unified deep learning model, which shows higher performance in clinical prediction tasks. The way to use time-varying data in the current study is hopeful to be used in other kinds of time-varying data and other clinical tasks.Copyright © 2023 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

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出版当年[2022]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 医学:信息 3 区 计算机:跨学科应用
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 计算机:跨学科应用 3 区 医学:信息
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出版当年[2021]版:
Q1 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Q1 MEDICAL INFORMATICS
最新[2023]版:
Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS Q2 MEDICAL INFORMATICS

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2021版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2020版] 出版后一年[2022版]

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第一作者机构: [1]School of Biomedical Engineering, Capital Medical University, No.10, Xitoutiao, You An Men, Fengtai District, Beijing 100069, China [2]Beijing Key Laboratory of Fundamental Research on Biomechanics in Clinical Application, Capital Medical University, No.10, Xitoutiao, You An Men, Fengtai District,
通讯作者:
通讯机构: [1]School of Biomedical Engineering, Capital Medical University, No.10, Xitoutiao, You An Men, Fengtai District, Beijing 100069, China [2]Beijing Key Laboratory of Fundamental Research on Biomechanics in Clinical Application, Capital Medical University, No.10, Xitoutiao, You An Men, Fengtai District, [*1]School of Biomedical Engineering, Capital Medical University, No.10, Xitoutiao, You An Men, Fengtai District, Beijing 100069, China.
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