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Predictive Modeling Using a Composite Index of Sleep and Cognition in the Alzheimer's Continuum: A Decade-Long Historical Cohort Study

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机构: [1]Capital Med Univ, Dept Neurol, Xuanwu Hosp, Beijing 100053, Peoples R China [2]Brandeis Univ, Dept Psychol, Waltham, MA USA [3]Southern Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Publ Hlth & Emergency Management, Shenzhen, Peoples R China [4]Hainan Univ, Sch Biomed Engn, Haikou, Hainan, Peoples R China [5]Anhui Med Univ, Dept Rehabil Med, Affiliated Hosp 1, Hefei, Anhui, Peoples R China [6]Beijing Inst Brain Disorders, Ctr Alzheimers Dis, Beijing, Peoples R China [7]Natl Clin Res Ctr Geriatr Disorders, Beijing, Peoples R China
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关键词: Alzheimer's disease biomarkers prediction sleep

摘要:
Background: Sleep disturbances frequently affect Alzheimer's disease (AD), with up to 65% patients reporting sleep-related issues that may manifest up to a decade before AD symptoms. Objective: To construct a nomogram that synthesizes sleep quality and cognitive performance for predicting cognitive impairment (CI) conversion outcomes. Methods: Using scores from three well-established sleep assessment tools, Pittsburg Sleep Quality Index, REM Sleep Behavior Disorder Screening Questionnaire, and Epworth Sleepiness Scale, we created the Sleep Composite Index (SCI), providing a comprehensive snapshot of an individual's sleep status. Initially, a CI conversion prediction model was formed via COX regression, fine-tuned by bidirectional elimination. Subsequently, an optimized prediction model through COX regression, depicted as a nomogram, offering predictions for CI development in 5, 8, and 12 years among cognitively unimpaired (CU) individuals. Results: After excluding CI patients at baseline, our study included 816 participants with complete baseline and follow-up data. The CU group had a mean age of 66.1 +/- 6.7 years, with 36.37% males, while the CI group had an average age of 70.3 +/- 9.0 years, with 39.20% males. The final model incorporated glial fibrillary acidic protein, Verbal Fluency Test and SCI, and an AUC of 0.8773 (0.792-0.963). Conclusions: In conclusion, the sleep-cognition nomogram we developed could successfully predict the risk of converting to CI in elderly participants and could potentially guide the design of interventions for rehabilitation and/or cognitive enhancement to improve the living quality for healthy older adults, detect at-risk individuals, and even slow down the progression of AD.

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大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 神经科学
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Q2 NEUROSCIENCES

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第一作者机构: [1]Capital Med Univ, Dept Neurol, Xuanwu Hosp, Beijing 100053, Peoples R China
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通讯机构: [1]Capital Med Univ, Dept Neurol, Xuanwu Hosp, Beijing 100053, Peoples R China [4]Hainan Univ, Sch Biomed Engn, Haikou, Hainan, Peoples R China [5]Anhui Med Univ, Dept Rehabil Med, Affiliated Hosp 1, Hefei, Anhui, Peoples R China [6]Beijing Inst Brain Disorders, Ctr Alzheimers Dis, Beijing, Peoples R China [7]Natl Clin Res Ctr Geriatr Disorders, Beijing, Peoples R China [*1]Department of Neurology, Xuanwu Hospital of Capital Medical University, Beijing, China, 100053 [*2]Department of Rehabilitation Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei City, Anhui Province, China
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