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High SBP trajectories are associated with risk of all-cause death in general Chinese population

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机构: [a]Department of Neurology, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Tangshan, China [b]Graduate School,Kailuan Hospital, Tangshan, China [c]Department of Cardiology, Kailuan Hospital, Tangshan, China [d]Department of Neurology, Tangshan Gongren Hospital, North China University of Science and Technology, Tangshan, China
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关键词: all-cause death cohort study risk factors SBP trajectory

摘要:
Objective:This study aimed to investigate whether long-term trajectories of high SBP can further predict risk of all-cause death in Chinese adults.Methods:We used a community-based cohort of 84363 participants without myocardial infarction, stroke, or cancer, in 2010. SBP trajectories used latent mixture modeling with data from 2006, 2008, and 2010. Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine the association between SBP trajectories and risk of all-cause death in 2010-2015.Results:We identified five distinct SBP trajectory patterns based on the 2006 status and the pattern of change during 2006-2010. Each pattern was labeled according to the SBP levels and pattern over time: low-stable (n=21249), moderate-stable (n=39390), moderate-increasing (n=9634), elevated-decreasing (n=9094) and elevated-stable (n=4996). During 5.241.04 years of follow-up, we documented 4131 deaths. After adjusting for potential confounding factors and using the low-stable group as a reference, hazard ratios [95% confidence interval (CI)] of all-cause death for the moderate-stable, moderate-increasing, elevated-decreasing, and elevated-stable groups were 1.32 (1.12-1.56), 1.60 (1.26-2.04), 1.69 (1.38-2.07), and 1.75 (1.33-2.32), respectively. Although the moderate-stable trajectory exhibited SBP ranges within the normal' range (126.90-130.09mmHg) in 2006-2010, this group had higher all-cause death risk relative to the low-stable trajectory group (109.86-112.46mmHg) (adjusted hazard ratio=1.32, 95% CI 1.12-1.56).Conclusion:High SBP trajectories are independent risk factors for all-cause death. Our findings suggest increasing SBP trajectories within the currently designated normal' range may still increase risk of all-cause death.

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出版当年[2017]版:
大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 2 区 外周血管病
最新[2023]版:
大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 外周血管病
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出版当年[2016]版:
Q1 PERIPHERAL VASCULAR DISEASE
最新[2023]版:
Q1 PERIPHERAL VASCULAR DISEASE

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2016版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2015版] 出版后一年[2017版]

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第一作者机构: [a]Department of Neurology, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Tangshan, China
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通讯机构: [c]Department of Cardiology, Kailuan Hospital, Tangshan, China [*1]Department of Cardiology, Kailuan Hospital, North China University of Science and Technology, Tangshan 063000, China
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