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Five-Year Risk of Stroke after TIA or Minor Ischemic Stroke

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机构: [1]AP HP, Dept Neurol & Stroke Ctr, Paris, France; [2]Univ Paris Diderot, Dept Hosp Univ Fibrose Inflammat Remodelage, Bichat Hosp,Sobonne Paris Cite, INSERM,Lab Vasc Translat Sci,Unite 1148, Paris, France; [3]Univ Paris Diderot, Sorbonne Paris Cite, Fernand Widal Hosp, Dept Biostat, Paris, France; [4]Univ Lille, Ctr Hosp Univ Lille, Equipe Accueil Sante Publ Epidemiol & Qualite Soi, Lille, France; [5]Stanford Univ, Med Ctr, Dept Neurol & Neurol Sci, Stanford Stroke Ctr, Stanford, CA 94305 USA; [6]St Joseph Univ, Hotel Dieu France, Dept Neurol, Beirut, Lebanon; [7]San Camillo Hosp, Stroke Unit, Rome, Italy; [8]Charite, Campus Benjamin Franklin, Arztliche Leitung Klin Neurol, Berlin, Germany; [9]Allgemeines Krankenhaus Celle, Klin Neurol, Celle, Germany; [10]Heidelberg Univ, Univ Med Mannheim, Dept Neurol, Heidelberg, Germany; [11]Shaare Zedek Med Ctr, Jerusalem, Israel; [12]Harvard Univ, Beth Israel Deaconess Med Ctr, Cerebrovasc Dis Serv, Boston, MA 02115 USA; [13]Ctr Hosp Porto, Hosp Santo Antonio, Serv Neurol, Porto, Portugal; [14]Univ Lisbon, Hosp Santa Maria, Dept Neurosci, Serv Neurol, Lisbon, Portugal; [15]Univ Melbourne, Florey Inst Neurosci & Mental Hlth, Parkville, Vic, Australia; [16]Univ Autonoma Nuevo Leon, Univ Hosp Jose Eleuterio Gonzalez, Stroke Unit, Monterrey, Mexico; [17]Univ Autonoma Nuevo Leon, Univ Hosp Jose Eleuterio Gonzalez, Neurol Serv, Monterrey, Mexico; [18]Univ Coll Dublin, Stroke Clin Trials Network Ireland, Neurovasc Res Unit, Dublin, Ireland; [19]Univ Coll Dublin, Stroke Clin Trials Network Ireland, Hlth Res Board, Dublin, Ireland; [20]Palacky Univ, Comprehens Stroke Ctr, Olomouc, Czech Republic; [21]Univ Hosp Olomouc, Olomouc, Czech Republic; [22]Palacky Univ, Fac Hlth Sci, Dept Nursing, Olomouc, Czech Republic; [23]Kaohsiung Med Univ, Chung Ho Mem Hosp, Dept Neurol, Kaohsiung, Taiwan; [24]Kaohsiung Med Univ, Kaohsiung, Taiwan; [25]Univ Autonoma Barcelona, Vall dHebron Univ Hosp, Dept Neurol, Stroke Unit, Barcelona, Spain; [26]Univ Lleida, Hosp Univ Arnau Vilanova, Stroke Unit, Lleida, Spain; [27]Univ Castilla La Mancha, Albacete Univ Hosp, Dept Neurol, Stroke Unit, Albacete, Spain; [28]Eulji Univ, Dept Neurol, Nowon Eulji Med Ctr, Seoul, South Korea; [29]Univ Oxford, Nuffield Dept Clin Neurosci, Stroke Prevent Res Unit, Oxford, England; [30]Imperial Coll, Natl Heart & Lung Inst, Inst Cardiovasc Med & Sci, Royal Brompton Hosp, London, England; [31]Int Univ Hlth & Welf, Sanno Hosp & Sanno, Ctr Brain & Cerebral Vessels, Med Ctr, Tokyo, Japan; [32]Beijing Tiantan Hosp, Capital Med Univ, Dept Neurol, Beijing, Peoples R China; [33]Chinese Univ Hong Kong, Prince Wales Hosp, Dept Med & Therapeut, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
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BACKGROUND After a transient ischemic attack (TIA) or minor stroke, the long-term risk of stroke and other vascular events is not well known. In this follow-up to a report on 1-year outcomes from a registry of TIA clinics in 21 countries that enrolled 4789 patients with a TIA or minor ischemic stroke from 2009 through 2011, we examined the 5-year risk of stroke and vascular events. METHODS We evaluated patients who had had a TIA or minor stroke within 7 days before enrollment in the registry. Among 61 sites that participated in the 1-year outcome study, we selected 42 sites that had follow-up data on more than 50% of their enrolled patients at 5 years. The primary outcome was a composite of stroke, acute coronary syndrome, or death from cardiovascular causes (whichever occurred first), with an emphasis on events that occurred in the second through fifth years. In calculating the cumulative incidence of the primary outcome and secondary outcomes (except death from any cause), we treated death as a competing risk. RESULTS A total of 3847 patients were included in the 5-year follow-up study; the median percentage of patients with 5-year follow-up data per center was 92.3% (interquartile range, 83.4 to 97.8). The composite primary outcome occurred in 469 patients (estimated cumulative rate, 12.9%; 95% confidence interval (CI), 11.8 to 14.1), with 235 events (50.1%) occurring in the second through fifth years. At 5 years, strokes had occurred in 345 patients (estimated cumulative rate, 9.5%; 95% CI, 8.5 to 10.5), with 149 of these patients (43.2%) having had a stroke during the second through fifth years. Rates of death from any cause, death from cardiovascular causes, intracranial hemorrhage, and major bleeding were 10.6%, 2.7%, 1.1%, and 1.5%, respectively, at 5 years. In multivariable analyses, ipsilateral large-artery atherosclerosis, cardioembolism, and a baseline ABM score for the risk of stroke (range, 0 to 7, with higher scores indicating greater risk) of 4 or more were each associated with an increased risk of subsequent stroke. CONCLUSIONS In a follow-up to a 1-year study involving patients who had a TIA or minor stroke, the rate of cardiovascular events including stroke in a selected cohort was 6.4% in the first year and 6.4% in the second through fifth years. (Funded by AstraZeneca and others.)

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出版当年[2017]版:
大类 | 1 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 医学:内科
最新[2023]版:
大类 | 1 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 医学:内科
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出版当年[2016]版:
Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL
最新[2023]版:
Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2016版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2015版] 出版后一年[2017版]

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第一作者机构: [1]AP HP, Dept Neurol & Stroke Ctr, Paris, France;
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通讯机构: [1]AP HP, Dept Neurol & Stroke Ctr, Paris, France;
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