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External Validation of a Case-Mix Adjustment Model for the Standardized Reporting of 30-Day Stroke Mortality Rates in China

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机构: [1]Hebei Med Univ, Hosp 2, Dept Neurol, Shijiazhuang, Peoples R China; [2]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Tiantan Hosp, Dept Neurol, Tiantan Clin Trial & Res Ctr Stroke, Beijing, Peoples R China; [3]Beijing Key Lab Translat Med Cerebrovasc Dis, Beijing, Peoples R China; [4]China Natl Clin Res Ctr Neurol Dis, Beijing, Peoples R China; [5]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Tiantan Hosp, Dept Neurol, Vasc Neurol, Beijing, Peoples R China; [6]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Tiantan Hosp, Dept Neurol, Neurointens Care Unit, Beijing, Peoples R China; [7]Hebei Med Univ, Tangshan Gongren Hosp, Dept Neurol, Tangshan, Hebei, Peoples R China; [8]Hebei Med Univ, Hosp 2, Dept Neurol, Shijiazhuang, Hebei Province, Peoples R China; [9]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Tiantan Hosp, Dept Neurol, Beijing, Peoples R China
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Background and Purpose A case-mix adjustment model has been developed and externally validated, demonstrating promise. However, the model has not been thoroughly tested among populations in China. In our study, we evaluated the performance of the model in Chinese patients with acute stroke. Methods The case-mix adjustment model A includes items on age, presence of atrial fibrillation on admission, National Institutes of Health Stroke Severity Scale (NIHSS) score on admission, and stroke type. Model B is similar to Model A but includes only the consciousness component of the NIHSS score. Both model A and B were evaluated to predict 30-day mortality rates in 13,948 patients with acute stroke from the China National Stroke Registry. The discrimination of the models was quantified by c-statistic. Calibration was assessed using Pearson's correlation coefficient. Results The c-statistic of model A in our external validation cohort was 0.80 (95% confidence interval, 0.79-0.82), and the c-statistic of model B was 0.82 (95% confidence interval, 0.81-0.84). Excellent calibration was reported in the two models with Pearson's correlation coefficient (0.892 for model A, p<0.001; 0.927 for model B, p=0.008). Conclusions The case-mix adjustment model could be used to effectively predict 30-day mortality rates in Chinese patients with acute stroke.

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出版当年[2015]版:
大类 | 3 区 生物
小类 | 3 区 综合性期刊
最新[2023]版:
大类 | 3 区 综合性期刊
小类 | 3 区 综合性期刊
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出版当年[2014]版:
Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES
最新[2023]版:
Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES

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第一作者机构: [1]Hebei Med Univ, Hosp 2, Dept Neurol, Shijiazhuang, Peoples R China; [8]Hebei Med Univ, Hosp 2, Dept Neurol, Shijiazhuang, Hebei Province, Peoples R China;
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通讯机构: [1]Hebei Med Univ, Hosp 2, Dept Neurol, Shijiazhuang, Peoples R China; [2]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Tiantan Hosp, Dept Neurol, Tiantan Clin Trial & Res Ctr Stroke, Beijing, Peoples R China; [4]China Natl Clin Res Ctr Neurol Dis, Beijing, Peoples R China; [5]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Tiantan Hosp, Dept Neurol, Vasc Neurol, Beijing, Peoples R China;
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