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Global and regional burden of stroke during 1990-2010: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010

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机构: [1]Auckland Uwnivers Technol, Fac Hlth & Environm Studies, Natl Inst Stroke & Appl Neurosci, Auckland, New Zealand; [2]Univ Washington, Dept Global Hlth, Inst Hlth Metr & Evaluat, Seattle, WA 98195 USA; [3]NIH, Heart Lung & Blood Inst, Bethesda, MD 20892 USA; [4]Univ Edinburgh, Div Clin Neurosci, Edinburgh EH8 9YL, Midlothian, Scotland; [5]Univ St Andrews, Bute Med Sch, St Andrews KY16 9AJ, Fife, Scotland; [6]Univ Witwatersrand, Sch Publ Hlth, ZA-2050 Johannesburg, South Africa; [7]Univ Oxford, Nuffield Dept Populat Hlth, Clin Trial Serv Unit, Oxford, England; [8]Univ Oxford, Nuffield Dept Populat Hlth, Epidemiol Studies Unit, Oxford, England; [9]Columbia Univ, Med Ctr, Div Gen Med, New York, NY 10027 USA; [10]Univ Miami, Miller Sch Med, Miami, FL 33136 USA; [11]Univ Washington, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol, Seattle, WA 98195 USA; [12]Washington State Inst Publ Policy, Olympia, WA USA; [13]Univ Copenhagen, Herlev Hosp, Dept Neurol, DK-2730 Herlev, Denmark; [14]Univ London Imperial Coll Sci Technol & Med, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Biostat, MRC HPA Ctr Environm & Hlth, London, England; [15]Natl Univ Ireland, Galway, Ireland; [16]Natl Univ Singapore, Yong Loo Lin Sch Med, Univ Med Cluster, Div Neurol, Singapore 117548, Singapore; [17]Natl Univ Singapore, Saw Swee Hock Sch Publ Hlth, Singapore 117548, Singapore; [18]Univ Auckland, Sch Psychol, Auckland 1, New Zealand; [19]Univ Auckland, Natl Inst Hlth Innovat, Auckland 1, New Zealand; [20]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Neurosurg Inst, Beijing, Peoples R China; [21]Federat Natl Publ Serv Personnel Mutual Aid Assoc, Tachikawa, Tokyo, Japan; [22]Auckland Univ Technol Univ, Fac Hlth & Environm Studies, Sch Publ Hlth & Psychosocial Studies, Natl Inst Stroke & Appl Neurosci,Sch Rehabil & Oc, Auckland 1142, New Zealand
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Background Although stroke is the second leading cause of death worldwide, no comprehensive and comparable assessment of incidence, prevalence, mortality, disability, and epidemiological trends has been estimated for most regions. We used data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2010 (GBD 2010) to estimate the global and regional burden of stroke during 1990-2010. Methods We searched Medline, Embase, LILACS, Scopus, PubMed, Science Direct, Global Health Database, the WHO library, and WHO regional databases from 1990 to 2012 to identify relevant studies published between 1990 and 2010. We applied the GBD 2010 analytical technique (DisMod-MR), based on disease-specific, pre-specified associations between incidence, prevalence, and mortality, to calculate regional and country-specific estimates of stroke incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) lost by age group (<75 years, >= 75 years, and in total) and country income level (high-income, and low-income and middle-income) for 1990, 2005, and 2010. Findings We included 119 studies (58 from high-income countries and 61 from low-income and middle-income countries). From 1990 to 2010, the age-standardised incidence of stroke significantly decreased by 12% (95% CI 6-17) in high-income countries, and increased by 12% (-3 to 22) in low-income and middle-income countries, albeit nonsignificantly. Mortality rates decreased significantly in both high income (37%, 31-41) and low-income and middle-income countries (20%, 15-30). In 2010, the absolute numbers of people with first stroke (16.9 million), stroke survivors (33 million), stroke-related deaths (5.9 million), and DALYs lost (102 million) were high and had significantly increased since 1990 (68%, 84%, 26%, and 12% increase, respectively), with most of the burden (68.6% incident strokes, 52.2% prevalent strokes, 70.9% stroke deaths, and 77.7% DALYs lost) in low-income and middle-income countries. In 2010, 5.2 million (31%) strokes were in children (aged <20 years old) and young and middle-aged adults (20-64 years), to which children and young and middle-aged adults from low-income and middle-income countries contributed almost 74 000 (89%) and 4.0 million (78%), respectively, of the burden. Additionally, we noted significant geographical differences of between three and ten times in stroke burden between GBD regions and countries. More than 62% of new strokes, 69.8% of prevalent strokes, 45.5% of deaths from stroke, and 71.7% of DALYs lost because of stroke were in people younger than 75 years. Interpretation Although age-standardised rates of stroke mortality have decreased worldwide in the past two decades, the absolute number of people who have a stroke every year, stroke survivors, related deaths, and the overall global burden of stroke (DALYs lost) are great and increasing. Further study is needed to improve understanding of stroke determinants and burden worldwide, and to establish causes of disparities and changes in trends in stroke burden between countries of different income levels.

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出版当年[2013]版:
大类 | 1 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 医学:内科
最新[2023]版:
大类 | 1 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 医学:内科
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出版当年[2012]版:
Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL
最新[2023]版:
Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL

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第一作者机构: [1]Auckland Uwnivers Technol, Fac Hlth & Environm Studies, Natl Inst Stroke & Appl Neurosci, Auckland, New Zealand;
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通讯机构: [1]Auckland Uwnivers Technol, Fac Hlth & Environm Studies, Natl Inst Stroke & Appl Neurosci, Auckland, New Zealand; [22]Auckland Univ Technol Univ, Fac Hlth & Environm Studies, Sch Publ Hlth & Psychosocial Studies, Natl Inst Stroke & Appl Neurosci,Sch Rehabil & Oc, Auckland 1142, New Zealand
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