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Global and regional burden of first-ever ischaemic and haemorrhagic stroke during 1990-2010: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010

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机构: [1]Auckland Univ Technol, Fac Hlth & Environm Studies, Natl Inst Stroke & Appl Neurosci, Auckland, New Zealand; [2]Univ Washington, Dept Global Hlth, Inst Hlth Metr & Evaluat, Seattle, WA 98195 USA; [3]NIH, NHLBI, Bethesda, MD 20892 USA; [4]Natl Hlth Serv Borders, Melrose, MA USA; [5]Univ Edinburgh, Div Clin Neurosci, Edinburgh EH8 9YL, Midlothian, Scotland; [6]Univ St Andrews, Bute Med Sch, St Andrews KY16 9AJ, Fife, Scotland; [7]Univ Witwatersrand, Sch Publ Hlth, ZA-2050 Johannesburg, South Africa; [8]Univ Oxford, Nuffield Dept Populat Hlth, Clin Trial Serv Unit, Oxford, England; [9]Univ Oxford, Nuffield Dept Populat Hlth, Epidemiol Studies Unit, Oxford, England; [10]Columbia Univ, Med Ctr, Div Gen Med, New York, NY 10027 USA; [11]Univ Miami, Miller Sch Med, Miami, FL 33136 USA; [12]Univ Washington, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol, Seattle, WA 98195 USA; [13]Washington State Inst Publ Policy, Olympia, WA USA; [14]Univ Copenhagen, Herlev Hosp, Dept Neurol, DK-2730 Herlev, Denmark; [15]Univ London Imperial Coll Sci Technol & Med, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Biostat, MRC HPA Ctr Environm & Hlth, London, England; [16]Univ Ireland, Galway, Ireland; [17]Natl Univ Singapore, Yong Loo Lin Sch Med, Univ Med Cluster, Div Neurol, Singapore 117595, Singapore; [18]Natl Univ Singapore, Saw Swee Hock Sch Publ Hlth, Singapore 117595, Singapore; [19]Univ Auckland, Sch Psychol, Auckland 1, New Zealand; [20]Univ Auckland, Natl Inst Hlth Innovat, Auckland 1, New Zealand; [21]Beijing Neurosurg Inst, Beijing, Peoples R China; [22]Tachikawa Hosp, Federat Natl Publ Serv Personnel Mutual Aid Assoc, Tachikawa, Tokyo, Japan; [23]Auckland Univ Technol Univ, Fac Hlth & Environm Studies, Sch Publ Hlth & Psychosocial Studies, Sch Rehabil & Occupat Studies,Natl Inst Stroke &, Auckland 1142, New Zealand
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Background The burden of ischaemic and haemorrhagic stroke varies between regions and over time. With differences in prognosis, prevalence of risk factors, and treatment strategies, knowledge of stroke pathological type is important for targeted region-specific health-care planning for stroke and could inform priorities for type-specific prevention strategies. We used data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2010 (GBD 2010) to estimate the global and regional burden of first-ever ischaemic and haemorrhagic stroke during 1990-2010. Methods We searched Medline, Embase, LILACS, Scopus, PubMed, Science Direct, Global Health Database, the WHO library, and regional databases from 1990 to 2012 to identify relevant studies published between 1990 and 2010. We applied the GBD 2010 analytical technique (DisMod-MR) to calculate regional and country-specific estimates for ischaemic and haemorrhagic stroke incidence, mortality, mortality-to-incidence ratio, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) lost, by age group (aged <75 years, >= 75 years, and in total) and country income level (high-income and low-income and middle-income) for 1990, 2005, and 2010. Findings We included 119 studies (58 from high-income countries and 61 from low-income and middle-income countries). Worldwide, the burden of ischaemic and haemorrhagic stroke increased significantly between 1990 and 2010 in terms of the absolute number of people with incident ischaemic and haemorrhagic stroke (37% and 47% increase, respectively), number of deaths (21% and 20% increase), and DALYs lost (18% and 14% increase). In the past two decades in high-income countries, incidence of ischaemic stroke reduced significantly by 13% (95% CI 6-18), mortality by 37% (19-39), DALYs lost by 34% (16-36), and mortality-to-incidence ratios by 21% (10-27). For haemorrhagic stroke, incidence reduced significantly by 19% (1-15), mortality by 38% (32-43), DALYs lost by 39% (32-44), and mortality-to-incidence ratios by 27% (19-35). By contrast, in low-income and middle-income countries, we noted a significant increase of 22% (5-30) in incidence of haemorrhagic stroke and a 6% (-7 to 18) non-significant increase in the incidence of ischaemic stroke. Mortality rates for ischaemic stroke fell by 14% (9-19), DALYs lost by 17% (-11 to 21%), and mortality-to-incidence ratios by 16% (-12 to 22). For haemorrhagic stroke in low-income and middle-income countries, mortality rates reduced by 23% (-18 to 25%), DALYs lost by 25% (-21 to 28), and mortality-to-incidence ratios by 36% (-34 to 28). Interpretation Although age-standardised mortality rates for ischaemic and haemorrhagic stroke have decreased in the past two decades, the absolute number of people who have these stroke types annually, and the number with related deaths and DALYs lost, is increasing, with most of the burden in low-income and middle-income countries. Further study is needed in these countries to identify which subgroups of the population are at greatest risk and who could be targeted for preventive efforts.

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大类 | 1 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生
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Q1 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH

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第一作者机构: [1]Auckland Univ Technol, Fac Hlth & Environm Studies, Natl Inst Stroke & Appl Neurosci, Auckland, New Zealand;
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通讯机构: [1]Auckland Univ Technol, Fac Hlth & Environm Studies, Natl Inst Stroke & Appl Neurosci, Auckland, New Zealand; [23]Auckland Univ Technol Univ, Fac Hlth & Environm Studies, Sch Publ Hlth & Psychosocial Studies, Sch Rehabil & Occupat Studies,Natl Inst Stroke &, Auckland 1142, New Zealand
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