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Projected Impact of Salt Restriction on Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease in China: A Modeling Study

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机构: [1]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Inst Heart Lung & Blood Vessel Dis, Dept Epidemiol, Beijing Anzhen Hosp, Beijing, Peoples R China; [2]Columbia Univ, Dept Med, Div Gen Med, New York, NY USA; [3]Univ Calif San Francisco, Dept Med, Div Gen Internal Med, San Francisco, CA USA; [4]Columbia Univ Coll Phys & Surg, 630 W 168th St, New York, NY 10032 USA
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Objectives To estimate the effects of achieving China's national goals for dietary salt (NaCl) reduction or implementing culturally-tailored dietary salt restriction strategies on cardiovascular disease (CVD) prevention. Methods The CVD Policy Model was used to project blood pressure lowering and subsequent downstream prevented CVD that could be achieved by population-wide salt restriction in China. Outcomes were annual CVD events prevented, relative reductions in rates of CVD incidence and mortality, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained, and CVD treatment costs saved. Results Reducing mean dietary salt intake to 9.0 g/day gradually over 10 years could prevent approximately 197 000 incident annual CVD events [95% uncertainty interval (UI): 173 000-219 000], reduce annual CVD mortality by approximately 2.5% (2.2-2.8%), gain 303 000 annual QALYs (278 000-329 000), and save approximately 1.4 billion international dollars (Int$) in annual CVD costs (Int$; 1.2-1.6 billion). Reducing mean salt intake to 6.0 g/day could approximately double these benefits. Implementing cooking salt-restriction spoons could prevent 183 000 fewer incident CVD cases (153 000-215 000) and avoid Int$ 1.4 billion in CVD treatment costs annually (1.2-1.7 billion). Implementing a cooking salt substitute strategy could lead to approximately three times the health benefits of the saltrestriction spoon program. More than three-quarters of benefits from any dietary salt reduction strategy would be realized in hypertensive adults. Conclusion China could derive substantial health gains from implementation of population-wide dietary salt reduction policies. Most health benefits from any dietary salt reduction program would be realized in adults with hypertension.

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出版当年[2015]版:
大类 | 3 区 生物
小类 | 3 区 综合性期刊
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 3 区 综合性期刊
小类 | 3 区 综合性期刊
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出版当年[2014]版:
Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES
最新[2023]版:
Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2014版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2013版] 出版后一年[2015版]

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第一作者机构: [1]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Inst Heart Lung & Blood Vessel Dis, Dept Epidemiol, Beijing Anzhen Hosp, Beijing, Peoples R China;
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通讯机构: [1]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Inst Heart Lung & Blood Vessel Dis, Dept Epidemiol, Beijing Anzhen Hosp, Beijing, Peoples R China;
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