机构:[1]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Inst Heart Lung & Blood Vessel Dis, Dept Epidemiol, Beijing Anzhen Hosp, Beijing, Peoples R China;首都医科大学附属安贞医院[2]Columbia Univ, Dept Med, Div Gen Med, New York, NY USA;[3]Univ Calif San Francisco, Dept Med, Div Gen Internal Med, San Francisco, CA USA;[4]Columbia Univ Coll Phys & Surg, 630 W 168th St, New York, NY 10032 USA
Objectives To estimate the effects of achieving China's national goals for dietary salt (NaCl) reduction or implementing culturally-tailored dietary salt restriction strategies on cardiovascular disease (CVD) prevention. Methods The CVD Policy Model was used to project blood pressure lowering and subsequent downstream prevented CVD that could be achieved by population-wide salt restriction in China. Outcomes were annual CVD events prevented, relative reductions in rates of CVD incidence and mortality, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained, and CVD treatment costs saved. Results Reducing mean dietary salt intake to 9.0 g/day gradually over 10 years could prevent approximately 197 000 incident annual CVD events [95% uncertainty interval (UI): 173 000-219 000], reduce annual CVD mortality by approximately 2.5% (2.2-2.8%), gain 303 000 annual QALYs (278 000-329 000), and save approximately 1.4 billion international dollars (Int$) in annual CVD costs (Int$; 1.2-1.6 billion). Reducing mean salt intake to 6.0 g/day could approximately double these benefits. Implementing cooking salt-restriction spoons could prevent 183 000 fewer incident CVD cases (153 000-215 000) and avoid Int$ 1.4 billion in CVD treatment costs annually (1.2-1.7 billion). Implementing a cooking salt substitute strategy could lead to approximately three times the health benefits of the saltrestriction spoon program. More than three-quarters of benefits from any dietary salt reduction strategy would be realized in hypertensive adults. Conclusion China could derive substantial health gains from implementation of population-wide dietary salt reduction policies. Most health benefits from any dietary salt reduction program would be realized in adults with hypertension.
基金:
National Program on Key Basic Research Project of ChinaNational Basic Research Program of China [2012CB517806]; National Science & Technology Pillar Program [2011BAI09B01, 2011BAI11B03]; Capital Health Research and Development of Special [2011-1005-01]; Mentored Career Development Award from the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute of the U.S. National Institutes of Health [K08HL089675]; University of California Pacific Rim Research ProgramUniversity of California System; Beijing Talents Fund [2014000021469G232]
第一作者机构:[1]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Inst Heart Lung & Blood Vessel Dis, Dept Epidemiol, Beijing Anzhen Hosp, Beijing, Peoples R China;
通讯作者:
通讯机构:[1]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Inst Heart Lung & Blood Vessel Dis, Dept Epidemiol, Beijing Anzhen Hosp, Beijing, Peoples R China;
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
Wang Miao,Moran Andrew E.,Liu Jing,et al.Projected Impact of Salt Restriction on Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease in China: A Modeling Study[J].PLOS ONE.2016,11(2):-.doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0146820.
APA:
Wang, Miao,Moran, Andrew E.,Liu, Jing,Coxson, Pamela G.,Penko, Joanne...&Zhao, Dong.(2016).Projected Impact of Salt Restriction on Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease in China: A Modeling Study.PLOS ONE,11,(2)
MLA:
Wang, Miao,et al."Projected Impact of Salt Restriction on Prevention of Cardiovascular Disease in China: A Modeling Study".PLOS ONE 11..2(2016):-