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The Cost-Effectiveness of Low-Cost Essential Antihypertensive Medicines for Hypertension Control in China: A Modelling Study

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机构: [1]Chinese Acad Med Sci, Fuwai Hosp, Dept Epidemiol, Beijing 100730, Peoples R China; [2]Peking Union Med Coll, Beijing 100021, Peoples R China; [3]Natl Ctr Cardiovasc Dis, Beijing, Peoples R China; [4]Tulane Univ, Sch Publ Hlth & Trop Med, Dept Epidemiol, New Orleans, LA 70118 USA; [5]Tulane Univ, Sch Med, Dept Med, New Orleans, LA 70118 USA; [6]Univ Calif San Francisco, Div Gen Med, San Francisco, CA 94143 USA; [7]Columbia Univ, Med Ctr, Div Gen Med, New York, NY USA; [8]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Tongji Med Coll, Sch Med & Hlth Management, Wuhan 430074, Peoples R China; [9]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Anzhen Hosp, Dept Epidemiol, Beijing, Peoples R China; [10]Beijing Inst Heart Lung & Blood Vessel Dis, Beijing, Peoples R China; [11]Columbia Univ Coll Phys & Surg, New York, NY 10032 USA
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Background Hypertension is China's leading cardiovascular disease risk factor. Improved hypertension control in China would result in result in enormous health gains in the world's largest population. A computer simulation model projected the cost-effectiveness of hypertension treatment in Chinese adults, assuming a range of essential medicines list drug costs. Methods and Findings The Cardiovascular Disease Policy Model-China, a Markov-style computer simulation model, simulated hypertension screening, essential medicines program implementation, hypertension control program administration, drug treatment and monitoring costs, disease-related costs, and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained by preventing cardiovascular disease or lost because of drug side effects in untreated hypertensive adults aged 35-84 y over 2015-2025. Cost-effectiveness was assessed in cardiovascular disease patients (secondary prevention) and for two blood pressure ranges in primary prevention (stage one, 140-159/90-99 mm Hg; stage two, >= 160/>= 100 mm Hg). Treatment of isolated systolic hypertension and combined systolic and diastolic hypertension were modeled as a reduction in systolic blood pressure; treatment of isolated diastolic hypertension was modeled as a reduction in diastolic blood pressure. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses explored ranges of antihypertensive drug effectiveness and costs, monitoring frequency, medication adherence, side effect severity, background hypertension prevalence, antihypertensive medication treatment, case fatality, incidence and prevalence, and cardiovascular disease treatment costs. Median antihypertensive costs from Shanghai and Yunnan province were entered into the model in order to estimate the effects of very low and high drug prices. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios less than the per capita gross domestic product of China (11,900 international dollars [Int$] in 2015) were considered cost-effective. Treating hypertensive adults with prior cardiovascular disease for secondary prevention was projected to be cost saving in the main simulation and 100% of probabilistic simulation results. Treating all hypertension for primary and secondary prevention would prevent about 800,000 cardiovascular disease events annually (95% uncertainty interval, 0.6 to 1.0 million) and was borderline cost-effective incremental to treating only cardiovascular disease and stage two patients (2015 Int$ 13,000 per QALY gained [95% uncertainty interval, Int$ 10,000 to Int$ 18,000]). Of all one-way sensitivity analyses, assuming adherence to taking medications as low as 25%, high Shanghai drug costs, or low medication efficacy led to the most unfavorable results (treating all hypertension, about Int$ 47,000, Int $ 37,000, and Int$ 27,000 per QALY were gained, respectively). The strengths of this study were the use of a recent Chinese national health survey, vital statistics, health care costs, and cohort study outcomes data as model inputs and reliance on clinical-trial-based estimates of coronary heart disease and stroke risk reduction due to antihypertensive medication treatment. The limitations of the study were the use of several sources of data, limited clinical trial evidence for medication effectiveness and harms in the youngest and oldest age groups, lack of information about geographic and ethnic subgroups, lack of specific information about indirect costs borne by patients, and uncertainty about the future epidemiology of cardiovascular diseases in China. Conclusions Expanded hypertension treatment has the potential to prevent about 800,000 cardiovascular disease events annually and be borderline cost-effective in China, provided low-cost essential antihypertensive medicines programs can be implemented.

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出版当年[2014]版:
大类 | 1 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 医学:内科
最新[2023]版:
大类 | 1 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 医学:内科
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出版当年[2013]版:
Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL
最新[2023]版:
Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2013版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2012版] 出版后一年[2014版]

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第一作者机构: [1]Chinese Acad Med Sci, Fuwai Hosp, Dept Epidemiol, Beijing 100730, Peoples R China; [2]Peking Union Med Coll, Beijing 100021, Peoples R China; [3]Natl Ctr Cardiovasc Dis, Beijing, Peoples R China;
通讯作者:
通讯机构: [1]Chinese Acad Med Sci, Fuwai Hosp, Dept Epidemiol, Beijing 100730, Peoples R China; [2]Peking Union Med Coll, Beijing 100021, Peoples R China; [3]Natl Ctr Cardiovasc Dis, Beijing, Peoples R China;
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