机构:[1]Beijing 302 Hosp, PLA Hosp 302, Liver Failure Therapy & Res Ctr, Beijing, Peoples R China;[2]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Anzhen Hosp, Emergency Dept, Beijing, Peoples R China;临床科室急诊危重症中心首都医科大学附属安贞医院[3]Acad Mil Med Sci, Postgrad Div, Beijing, Peoples R China;[4]Second Artillery Force PLA, Dis Prevent & Control Off, Beijing, Peoples R China;[5]Beijing 302 Hosp, PLA Hosp 302, Western & Tradit Chinese Med Ctr, Beijing, Peoples R China;[6]Second Mil Med Univ, Changhai Hosp, Med Adm Dept, Shanghai, Peoples R China;[7]PLA 477 Hosp, Med Adm Dept, Wuhan, Hubei Province, Peoples R China;[8]Gen Hosp Jinan Mil Reg, Med Adm Dept, Jinan, Shandong, Peoples R China;[9]Gen Hosp Lanzhou Mil Reg, Med Adm Dept, Lanzhou, Gansu, Peoples R China;[10]PLA 161 Hosp, Dept Gastroenterol, Wuhan, Hunan, Peoples R China;[11]Gen Hosp PLA, Intens Care Unit, Beijing, Peoples R China
Objectives: No extensive investigation has been performed and thus no representative data are available regarding acute liver failure (ALF) in China. This study aims to investigate the causes and outcomes of ALF in China and establish a prognostic model. Methods: Patients diagnosed as ALF in seven hospitals in different areas of China from January 2007 to December 2012 were retrospectively selected. Results: Of the 177 patients included in this study, 112 (63.28%) eventually died. The common causes of ALF were drug toxicity (43.50%), indeterminate etiology (29.38%) and acute viral hepatitis (11.30%). Additionally, traditional Chinese herbs predominated in the causes of drug-induced ALF (30/77). No patients in this study received liver transplantation. In the established model for predicting death in ALF, four variables were finally selected out, including age (P=0.01), the entry hepatic encephalopathy grade (P=0.04), international normalized ratio (P<0.01) and arterial blood ammonia (P=0.02). Using a threshold value of 0.5683, this model had a sensitivity of 95.24% and a specificity of 91.30%. Conclusions: Traditional Chinese medicine was a major cause of ALF in China. The spontaneous mortality of ALF was high, whereas the rate of liver transplantation was significantly low. The established prognostic model of ALF had superior sensitivity and specificity.