机构：[1]Columbia Univ, Med Ctr, Div Gen Med, Dept Med, New York, NY 10032 USA;[2]Chinese Acad Med Sci, Dept Evidence Based Med, Cardiovasc Inst, Natl Ctr Cardiovasc Dis, Beijing 100730, Peoples R China;[3]Chinese Acad Med Sci, Fu Wai Hosp, Natl Ctr Cardiovasc Dis, Beijing 100730, Peoples R China;[4]Beijing Inst Heart Lung & Blood Vessel Dis, Dept Epidemiol, Beijing, Peoples R China;首都医科大学附属安贞医院[5]Tulane Univ, Dept Epidemiol, New Orleans, LA 70118 USA;[6]Columbia Univ, Med Ctr, Dept Med, New York, NY 10032 USA;[7]Columbia Univ, Lamont Doherty Geol Observ, Ctr Int Earth Sci Informat Network, Palisades, NY 10964 USA;[8]Univ Calif San Francisco, San Francisco, CA 94143 USA;[9]Columbia Univ Coll Phys & Surg, Med Ctr, New York, NY 10032 USA;[10]Columbia Univ, Med Ctr, Div Gen Med, Dept Med, Room PH 9 E 105,622 W 168th St, New York, NY 10032 USA
The Coronary Heart Disease (CHD) Policy Model-China, a national scale cardiovascular disease computer simulation model, was used to project future impact of urbanization. Populations and cardiovascular disease incidence rates were stratified into four submodels: North-Urban, South-Urban, North-Rural, and South-Rural. 2010 was the base year, and high and low urbanization rate scenarios were used to project 2030 populations. Rural-to-urban migration, population growth, and aging were projected to more than double cardiovascular disease events in urban areas and increase events by 27.0-45.6 % in rural areas. Urbanization is estimated to raise age-standardized coronary heart disease incidence by 73-81 per 100,000 and stroke incidence only slightly. Rural-to-urban migration will likely be a major demographic driver of the cardiovascular disease epidemic in China.
基金：
Columbia University Earth Institute Cross-Cutting Initiative grant; United States National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute of the NIHUnited States Department of Health & Human ServicesNational Institutes of Health (NIH) - USANIH National Heart Lung & Blood Institute (NHLBI) [K08HL089675]
语种：
外文
被引次数：
WOS：
中科院(CAS)分区：
出版当年[2011]版：
大类|4 区医学
小类|4 区公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生
最新[2023]版：
大类|3 区医学
小类|3 区公共卫生、环境卫生与职业卫生
JCR分区：
出版当年[2010]版：
Q1PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTHQ2PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH
第一作者机构：[6]Columbia Univ, Med Ctr, Dept Med, New York, NY 10032 USA;
通讯作者：
通讯机构：[1]Columbia Univ, Med Ctr, Div Gen Med, Dept Med, New York, NY 10032 USA;[10]Columbia Univ, Med Ctr, Div Gen Med, Dept Med, Room PH 9 E 105,622 W 168th St, New York, NY 10032 USA
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714)：
Chan Faye,Adamo Susana,Coxson Pamela,et al.Projected impact of urbanization on cardiovascular disease in china[J].INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PUBLIC HEALTH.2012,57(5):849-854.doi:10.1007/s00038-012-0400-y.
APA：
Chan, Faye,Adamo, Susana,Coxson, Pamela,Goldman, Lee,Gu, Dongfeng...&Moran, Andrew.(2012).Projected impact of urbanization on cardiovascular disease in china.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PUBLIC HEALTH,57,(5)
MLA：
Chan, Faye,et al."Projected impact of urbanization on cardiovascular disease in china".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PUBLIC HEALTH 57..5(2012):849-854
