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A Simplified Frailty Index Predicts Mortality in Older Adults in Beijing

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机构: [1]Department of Geriatrics, Xuanwu Hospital Capital Medical University, National Clinical Research Center for Geriatric Diseases, Beijing, 100053, People’s Republic of China [2]Beijing Geriatric Healthcare Center, Xuanwu Hospital Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100053, People’s Republic of China
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关键词: frailty index older adults comprehensive geriatric assessment mortality

摘要:
Objective: The comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) is an integral tool used to identify vulnerable older adults in need of individualized plans to delay the course of diseases and monitor treatment outcomes. We previously developed and validated a 68 -item frailty index (FI) based on the CGA in a large, older, Chinese population. However, substantial time is needed to evaluate the 68 items. Therefore, we aimed to develop and validate a simplified FI for use in Chinese older population. Design: Longitudinal study. Setting and Participants: Data were drawn from the Beijing Longitudinal Study of Aging. The study was conducted in 2004 with 1808 participants evaluated using the CGA and was followed-up for 13 years. Mortality was recorded at 3, 5, 8, 10, and 13 years intervals. Measures: 27-Item, 50-item, and 68-item frailty indices were investigated. A Cox propor-tional hazards model and area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic (AUC-ROC) were calculated to compare mortality predictions. Results: The FI was positively correlated with age in males (r = 0.174, P <0.001) and females (r = 0.270, P <0.001). The mean baseline FI was 0.225 +/- 0.085 (range: 0.04-0.56) as evaluated by the 27-item FI, 0.181 +/- 0.117 (range: 0.02-0.62) by the 50-item FI, and 0.167 +/- 0.101 (range: 0.02-0.59) by the 68-item FI. Cox regression models showed that mortality was significantly higher in frail people than in non-frail people for all 3 indices (p<0.001). The AUCs of the 68-item FI, 50-item FI, and 27-item FI for predicting mortality were 0.720, 0.717, and 0.677, respectively (p<0.001). Conclusion: The 27-item FI is reasonable to expect that the AUC of the indices with the higher items number is inferior to the performance of the indices with higher number of items (FI50 and FI68). But 27-item maybe used as a tool to identify frail older adults and predict mortality in clinical and primary care practices in China.

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基金编号: 2018YFC2002101 2018YFC2002100 7202059 PX2020036 201002011

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出版当年[2020]版:
大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 卫生保健与服务
最新[2023]版:
大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 卫生保健与服务 4 区 卫生政策与服务
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出版当年[2019]版:
Q2 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Q2 HEALTH POLICY & SERVICES
最新[2023]版:
Q2 HEALTH CARE SCIENCES & SERVICES Q2 HEALTH POLICY & SERVICES

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2019版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2018版] 出版后一年[2020版]

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第一作者机构: [1]Department of Geriatrics, Xuanwu Hospital Capital Medical University, National Clinical Research Center for Geriatric Diseases, Beijing, 100053, People’s Republic of China [2]Beijing Geriatric Healthcare Center, Xuanwu Hospital Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100053, People’s Republic of China
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通讯机构: [1]Department of Geriatrics, Xuanwu Hospital Capital Medical University, National Clinical Research Center for Geriatric Diseases, Beijing, 100053, People’s Republic of China [2]Beijing Geriatric Healthcare Center, Xuanwu Hospital Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100053, People’s Republic of China
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