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Construction and Validation of a Nomogram Clinical Prediction Model for Predicting Osteoporosis in an Asymptomatic Elderly Population in Beijing

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收录情况： ◇ SCIE

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机构： [1]Department of Orthopedics, Xuanwu Hospital, Capital Medical University, No. 45 Changchun Street, Beijing 100000, China

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关键词： osteoporosis clinical prediction model nomogram asymptomatic elderly early diagnosis screening

摘要：

Based on the high prevalence and occult-onset of osteoporosis, the development of novel early screening tools was imminent. Therefore, this study attempted to construct a nomogram clinical prediction model for predicting osteoporosis.Asymptomatic elderly residents in the training (n = 438) and validation groups (n = 146) were recruited. BMD examinations were performed and clinical data were collected for the participants. Logistic regression analyses were performed. A logistic nomogram clinical prediction model and an online dynamic nomogram clinical prediction model were constructed. The nomogram model was validated by means of ROC curves, calibration curves, DCA curves, and clinical impact curves.The nomogram clinical prediction model constructed based on gender, education level, and body weight was well generalized and had moderate predictive value (AUC > 0.7), better calibration, and better clinical benefit. An online dynamic nomogram was constructed.The nomogram clinical prediction model was easy to generalize, and could help family physicians and primary community healthcare institutions to better screen for osteoporosis in the general elderly population and achieve early detection and diagnosis of the disease.

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出版当年[2022]版：

大类 | 2 区

医学

小类 | 2 区医学：内科

最新[2023]版：

大类 | 3 区医学

小类 | 2 区医学：内科

JCR分区：

出版当年[2021]版：

Q2 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL

最新[2023]版：

Q1 MEDICINE, GENERAL & INTERNAL

影响因子： 3 最新[2023版] 3.4 最新五年平均 4.964 出版当年[2021版] 5.098 出版当年五年平均 4.242 出版前一年[2020版] 3.9 出版后一年[2022版]

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第一作者机构： [1]Department of Orthopedics, Xuanwu Hospital, Capital Medical University, No. 45 Changchun Street, Beijing 100000, China

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