机构:[a]Department of Radiology, Guangdong Provincial People’s Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China[b]School of Medicine, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China[c]Department of Radiology, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China医技科室医学影像科首都医科大学附属安贞医院[d]Department of Medical Statistics and Epidemiology, Health Information Research Center, Guangdong Key Laboratory of Medicine, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China[e]Department of Cardiology, Guangdong Provincial People’s Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China[f]College of Automation Science and Engineering, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China
Purpose: Dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) is a common form of cardiomyopathy and it is associated with poor outcomes. A poor prognosis of DCM patients with low ejection fraction has been noted in the short-term follow-up. Machine learning (ML) could aid clinicians in risk stratification and patient management after considering the correlation between numerous features and the outcomes. The present study aimed to predict the 1-year cardiovascular events in patients with severe DCM using ML, and aid clinicians in risk stratification and patient management. Materials and Methods: The dataset used to establish the ML model was obtained from 98 patients with severe DCM (LVEF < 35%) from two centres. Totally 32 features from clinical data were input to the ML algorithm, and the significant features highly relevant to the cardiovascular events were selected by Information gain (IG). A naive Bayes classifier was built, and its predictive performance was evaluated using the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristics by 10-fold cross-validation. Results: During the 1-year follow-up, a total of 22 patients met the criterion of the study end-point. The top features with IG > 0.01 were selected for ML model, including left atrial size (IG = 0.240), QRS duration (IG = 0.200), and systolic blood pressure (IG = 0.151). ML performed well in predicting cardiovascular events in patients with severe DCM (AUC, 0.887 [95% confidence interval, 0.813-0.961]). Conclusions: ML effectively predicted risk in patients with severe DCM in 1-year follow-up, and this may direct risk stratification and patient management in the future.
基金:
National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaNational Natural Science Foundation of China [81771799, 81870077]; Guangdong Provincial Science and Technology Planning Project [2014A020212676]; National Key R&D Program of China [2016YFC0106804]; Science and Technology Program of Guangzhou, China [201707010306]
第一作者机构:[a]Department of Radiology, Guangdong Provincial People’s Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China[b]School of Medicine, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China
共同第一作者:
通讯作者:
通讯机构:[a]Department of Radiology, Guangdong Provincial People’s Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China[b]School of Medicine, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China[f]College of Automation Science and Engineering, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China[*1]106 Zhong Shan Er Lu, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, 510080, China[*2]South China University of Technology Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, 510641, China.
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
Rui Chen,Aijia Lu,Jingjing Wang,et al.Using machine learning to predict one-year cardiovascular events in patients with severe dilated cardiomyopathy[J].EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF RADIOLOGY.2019,117:178-183.doi:10.1016/j.ejrad.2019.06.004.
APA:
Rui Chen,Aijia Lu,Jingjing Wang,Xiaohai Ma,Lei Zhao...&Hui Liu.(2019).Using machine learning to predict one-year cardiovascular events in patients with severe dilated cardiomyopathy.EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF RADIOLOGY,117,
MLA:
Rui Chen,et al."Using machine learning to predict one-year cardiovascular events in patients with severe dilated cardiomyopathy".EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF RADIOLOGY 117.(2019):178-183