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Using machine learning to predict one-year cardiovascular events in patients with severe dilated cardiomyopathy

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机构: [a]Department of Radiology, Guangdong Provincial People’s Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China [b]School of Medicine, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China [c]Department of Radiology, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China [d]Department of Medical Statistics and Epidemiology, Health Information Research Center, Guangdong Key Laboratory of Medicine, School of Public Health, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China [e]Department of Cardiology, Guangdong Provincial People’s Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China [f]College of Automation Science and Engineering, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China
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关键词: Severe dilated cardiomyopathy Prognostic value Machine learning

摘要:
Purpose: Dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) is a common form of cardiomyopathy and it is associated with poor outcomes. A poor prognosis of DCM patients with low ejection fraction has been noted in the short-term follow-up. Machine learning (ML) could aid clinicians in risk stratification and patient management after considering the correlation between numerous features and the outcomes. The present study aimed to predict the 1-year cardiovascular events in patients with severe DCM using ML, and aid clinicians in risk stratification and patient management. Materials and Methods: The dataset used to establish the ML model was obtained from 98 patients with severe DCM (LVEF < 35%) from two centres. Totally 32 features from clinical data were input to the ML algorithm, and the significant features highly relevant to the cardiovascular events were selected by Information gain (IG). A naive Bayes classifier was built, and its predictive performance was evaluated using the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristics by 10-fold cross-validation. Results: During the 1-year follow-up, a total of 22 patients met the criterion of the study end-point. The top features with IG > 0.01 were selected for ML model, including left atrial size (IG = 0.240), QRS duration (IG = 0.200), and systolic blood pressure (IG = 0.151). ML performed well in predicting cardiovascular events in patients with severe DCM (AUC, 0.887 [95% confidence interval, 0.813-0.961]). Conclusions: ML effectively predicted risk in patients with severe DCM in 1-year follow-up, and this may direct risk stratification and patient management in the future.

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出版当年[2018]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 核医学
最新[2023]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 核医学
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出版当年[2017]版:
Q2 RADIOLOGY, NUCLEAR MEDICINE & MEDICAL IMAGING
最新[2023]版:
Q1 RADIOLOGY, NUCLEAR MEDICINE & MEDICAL IMAGING

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2017版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2016版] 出版后一年[2018版]

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第一作者机构: [a]Department of Radiology, Guangdong Provincial People’s Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China [b]School of Medicine, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China
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通讯机构: [a]Department of Radiology, Guangdong Provincial People’s Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China [b]School of Medicine, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China [f]College of Automation Science and Engineering, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China [*1]106 Zhong Shan Er Lu, Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, 510080, China [*2]South China University of Technology Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, 510641, China.
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