Background and Purpose Procedure-related neurological complications are common after endovascular treatment of unruptured intracranial aneurysms. We aimed to develop a score to quantify individual patient risk. Methods We retrospectively analyzed consecutive patients who underwent endovascular treatment for unruptured intracranial aneurysms between January 2012 and September 2015. After excluding those who lost to follow-up and those with fusiform unruptured intracranial aneurysms, included patients were randomly divided into a derivation group (60%) and a validation group (40%). A neurological complication was defined as any transient or permanent increase in the modified Rankin Scale score after aneurysm embolization. A risk score for neurological complications was derived from multivariable logistic regression analyses in the derivation group and validated in the validation group. Results Overall, 1060 patients were included (636 in the derivation group and 424 in the validation group). The incidence of neurological complications was 5.5% (95% confidence interval, 3.8%-7.4%). A 3-point risk score (S-C-C) was derived to predict neurological complications (size [10 mm=1], core areas [yes=1], and cerebral ischemic comorbidity [yes=1]). The incidence of neurological complications varied from 2.2% in 0-point patients to 25.0% in 3-point patients. The score demonstrated significant discrimination (C-statistic, 0.714; 95% confidence interval, 0.624-0.804) and calibration (McFadden R-2, 0.102) in the derivation group. Excellent prediction, discrimination, and calibration properties were reproduced in the validation group. Conclusions One in 20 patients will develop neurological complications after endovascular treatment of unruptured intracranial aneurysms. The S-C-C score may be useful for predicting these adverse outcomes based on variables in daily practice.
基金:
National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaNational Natural Science Foundation of China [81220108007, 81441038]; Special Research Projects for Capital Health Development [2014-1-1071, 2011-1015-04]
第一作者机构:[1]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Neurosurg Inst, Beijing Tiantan Hosp, Dept Intervent Neuroradiol, Beijing, Peoples R China;
通讯作者:
通讯机构:[1]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Neurosurg Inst, Beijing Tiantan Hosp, Dept Intervent Neuroradiol, Beijing, Peoples R China;[2]6 Tiantan Xili, Beijing 100050, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
Ji Wenjun,Liu Aihua,Lv Xianli,et al.Risk Score for Neurological Complications After Endovascular Treatment of Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms[J].STROKE.2016,47(4):971-978.doi:10.1161/STROKEAHA.115.012097.
APA:
Ji, Wenjun,Liu, Aihua,Lv, Xianli,Kang, Huibin,Sun, Liqian...&Wu, Zhongxue.(2016).Risk Score for Neurological Complications After Endovascular Treatment of Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms.STROKE,47,(4)
MLA:
Ji, Wenjun,et al."Risk Score for Neurological Complications After Endovascular Treatment of Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms".STROKE 47..4(2016):971-978