External Validation of the Totaled Health Risks in Vascular Events Score to Predict Functional Outcome and Mortality in Patients Entered into the China National Stroke Registry
Background: THRIVE (Totaled Health Risks in Vascular Events) score is a tool used to predict the functional outcome and mortality in patients with ischemic stroke at 3 months. This project aims to explore its prognostic value at 3, 6, and 12 months in Chinese stroke patients. Methods: We applied the THRIVE score in 11,064 patients with acute ischemic stroke who were entered into the China National Stroke Registry. We applied the THRIVE score and examined its performance on mortality and poor functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale score between 3 and 6). Model discrimination was measured by c-statistic. Calibration was assessed by comparing predicted and observed probability of poor outcome or mortality by using Pearson correlation coefficient. Results: Among the 11,064 patients with ischemic stroke, the mortality rates at discharge, and at 3, 6, and 12 months were 3.6%, 7.9%, 10.5%, and 12.7%, respectively; the corresponding c-statistics were .83(95% confidence interval [CI], .80-.86), .79(95% CI, .77-.81), .80(95% CI, .78-.81), and.79(95% CI, .78-.80), respectively. For the poor functional outcome at discharge, and at 3, 6, and 12 months, the c-statistics were.74(95% CI, .73-.75), .76(95% CI, .75-.77), .76(95% CI, .75-.77), and.77(95% CI, .76-.78), respectively. The observed and expected probability of poor functional outcome and mortality based on the THRIVE score correlated (Pearson correlation coefficient ranged from.90 to .99) highly. Conclusions: The THRIVE score is a reliable tool to predict the mortality and to fairly predict the functional outcome at discharge, and at 3, 6, and 12 months in Chinese patients after acute ischemic stroke. (C) 2016 Published by Elsevier Inc. on behalf of National Stroke Association.
基金:
Ministry of Science and Technology of the People's Republic of ChinaMinistry of Science and Technology, China [2006BAI01A11, 2011BAI08B01, 2011BAI08B02, 2012ZX09303-005-001, 2013BAI09B03]; Beijing Biobank of Cerebral Vascular Disease [D131100005313003]; Beijing Municipal Science and Technology Project [D131100002313002]; Beijing Institute for Brain Disorders [BIBD-PXM2013_014226_07_000084]
第一作者机构:[1]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Tiantan Hosp, Dept Neurol, Beijing, Peoples R China;[2]China Natl Clin Res Ctr Neurol Dis NCRC ND, Beijing, Peoples R China;[3]Beijing Inst Brain Disorders, Ctr Stroke, Beijing, Peoples R China;[4]Beijing Key Lab Translat Med Cerebrovasc Dis, Beijing, Peoples R China;
通讯作者:
通讯机构:[1]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Tiantan Hosp, Dept Neurol, Beijing, Peoples R China;[2]China Natl Clin Res Ctr Neurol Dis NCRC ND, Beijing, Peoples R China;[3]Beijing Inst Brain Disorders, Ctr Stroke, Beijing, Peoples R China;[4]Beijing Key Lab Translat Med Cerebrovasc Dis, Beijing, Peoples R China;[7]6 Tiantanxili, Beijing 100050, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
Chen Weiqi,Liu Gaifen,Fang Jiming,et al.External Validation of the Totaled Health Risks in Vascular Events Score to Predict Functional Outcome and Mortality in Patients Entered into the China National Stroke Registry[J].JOURNAL OF STROKE & CEREBROVASCULAR DISEASES.2016,25(10):2331-2337.doi:10.1016/j.jstrokecerebrovasdis.2016.03.021.
APA:
Chen, Weiqi,Liu, Gaifen,Fang, Jiming,Wang, Yilong,Song, Yanli...&Wang, Yongjun.(2016).External Validation of the Totaled Health Risks in Vascular Events Score to Predict Functional Outcome and Mortality in Patients Entered into the China National Stroke Registry.JOURNAL OF STROKE & CEREBROVASCULAR DISEASES,25,(10)
MLA:
Chen, Weiqi,et al."External Validation of the Totaled Health Risks in Vascular Events Score to Predict Functional Outcome and Mortality in Patients Entered into the China National Stroke Registry".JOURNAL OF STROKE & CEREBROVASCULAR DISEASES 25..10(2016):2331-2337