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External Validation of the Totaled Health Risks in Vascular Events Score to Predict Functional Outcome and Mortality in Patients Entered into the China National Stroke Registry

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机构: [1]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Tiantan Hosp, Dept Neurol, Beijing, Peoples R China; [2]China Natl Clin Res Ctr Neurol Dis NCRC ND, Beijing, Peoples R China; [3]Beijing Inst Brain Disorders, Ctr Stroke, Beijing, Peoples R China; [4]Beijing Key Lab Translat Med Cerebrovasc Dis, Beijing, Peoples R China; [5]Inst Clin Evaluat Sci, Toronto, ON, Canada; [6]Univ Illinois, Coll Med Peoria, OSF Healthcare Syst, Illinois Neurol Inst Stroke Network,Dept Neurol, Peoria, IL USA; [7]6 Tiantanxili, Beijing 100050, Peoples R China
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关键词: China National Stroke Registry ischemic stroke prognosis THRIVE score

摘要:
Background: THRIVE (Totaled Health Risks in Vascular Events) score is a tool used to predict the functional outcome and mortality in patients with ischemic stroke at 3 months. This project aims to explore its prognostic value at 3, 6, and 12 months in Chinese stroke patients. Methods: We applied the THRIVE score in 11,064 patients with acute ischemic stroke who were entered into the China National Stroke Registry. We applied the THRIVE score and examined its performance on mortality and poor functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale score between 3 and 6). Model discrimination was measured by c-statistic. Calibration was assessed by comparing predicted and observed probability of poor outcome or mortality by using Pearson correlation coefficient. Results: Among the 11,064 patients with ischemic stroke, the mortality rates at discharge, and at 3, 6, and 12 months were 3.6%, 7.9%, 10.5%, and 12.7%, respectively; the corresponding c-statistics were .83(95% confidence interval [CI], .80-.86), .79(95% CI, .77-.81), .80(95% CI, .78-.81), and.79(95% CI, .78-.80), respectively. For the poor functional outcome at discharge, and at 3, 6, and 12 months, the c-statistics were.74(95% CI, .73-.75), .76(95% CI, .75-.77), .76(95% CI, .75-.77), and.77(95% CI, .76-.78), respectively. The observed and expected probability of poor functional outcome and mortality based on the THRIVE score correlated (Pearson correlation coefficient ranged from.90 to .99) highly. Conclusions: The THRIVE score is a reliable tool to predict the mortality and to fairly predict the functional outcome at discharge, and at 3, 6, and 12 months in Chinese patients after acute ischemic stroke. (C) 2016 Published by Elsevier Inc. on behalf of National Stroke Association.

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出版当年[2015]版:
大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 神经科学 4 区 外周血管病
最新[2023]版:
大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 神经科学 4 区 外周血管病
JCR分区:
出版当年[2014]版:
Q4 NEUROSCIENCES Q4 PERIPHERAL VASCULAR DISEASE
最新[2023]版:
Q3 NEUROSCIENCES Q3 PERIPHERAL VASCULAR DISEASE

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2014版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2013版] 出版后一年[2015版]

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第一作者机构: [1]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Tiantan Hosp, Dept Neurol, Beijing, Peoples R China; [2]China Natl Clin Res Ctr Neurol Dis NCRC ND, Beijing, Peoples R China; [3]Beijing Inst Brain Disorders, Ctr Stroke, Beijing, Peoples R China; [4]Beijing Key Lab Translat Med Cerebrovasc Dis, Beijing, Peoples R China;
通讯作者:
通讯机构: [1]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Tiantan Hosp, Dept Neurol, Beijing, Peoples R China; [2]China Natl Clin Res Ctr Neurol Dis NCRC ND, Beijing, Peoples R China; [3]Beijing Inst Brain Disorders, Ctr Stroke, Beijing, Peoples R China; [4]Beijing Key Lab Translat Med Cerebrovasc Dis, Beijing, Peoples R China; [7]6 Tiantanxili, Beijing 100050, Peoples R China
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