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Twenty-year epidemiologic study on LDL-C levels in relation to the risks of atherosclerotic event, hemorrhagic stroke, and cancer death among young and middle-aged population in China

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机构: [1]Department of Epidemiology, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing Municipal Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Beijing, China
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关键词: Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol Primary prevention Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease Hemorrhagic stroke Cancer Cohort study

摘要:
BACKGROUND: Lowering elevated low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels is a key strategy in primary prevention of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), but the optimal LDL-C level is not well established in Chinese. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to search for the LDL-C level that associated with the lowest long-term ASCVD risk without excess risk of other life-threatening diseases. METHODS: Totally 20,954 participants aged 35-64 years were followed up for about 20 years. Cumulative and relative risks of ASCVD, hemorrhagic stroke, and cancer death, according to baseline LDL-C levels, were calculated using modified Kaplan-Meier and Fine & Gray models, considering competing risks. Preventable ASCVD cases against increased harms were estimated by simulation, replacing elevated LDL-C levels with lower LDL-C levels in the risk prediction models for individuals with different ASCVD risk. RESULTS: The lower the baseline LDL-C, the lower the 20-year risk of ASCVD in participants with LDL-C levels ranging from the lowest category (<40 mg/dL) to the highest (>= 160 mg/dL). We found no association between lower LDL-C levels and long-term risk of cancer death. If all people with LDL-C >= 130 mg/dL were assumed to have the LDL-C level <70 mg/dL and other risk factors remained unchanged, a substantial number of ASCVD cases would be preventable. However, for uncontrolled hypertensive patients, the LDL-C level <70 mg/dL would have extra harm from hemorrhagic stroke. CONCLUSION: Participants with baseline LDL-C <40 mg/dL had the lowest ASCVD risk. An excess risk of hemorrhagic stroke was observed in patients with uncontrolled hypertension and LDL-C <70 mg/dL. LDL-C 70-99 mg/dL had reasonably low ASCVD risk without excess risk of other life-threatening diseases. (C) 2018 National Lipid Association. All rights reserved.

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出版当年[2017]版:
大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 药学
最新[2023]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 3 区 药学
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出版当年[2016]版:
Q1 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY
最新[2023]版:
Q2 PHARMACOLOGY & PHARMACY

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2016版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2015版] 出版后一年[2017版]

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第一作者机构: [1]Department of Epidemiology, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing Municipal Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Beijing, China
通讯作者:
通讯机构: [1]Department of Epidemiology, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing Municipal Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, Beijing, China [*1]Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing Municipal Key Laboratory of Clinical Epidemiology, No. 2 An Zhen Road, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100029, China.
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