当前位置: 首页 > 详情页

Comparison of different scoring systems for predicting 28-day mortality in critically ill patients with acute pancreatitis: a retrospective cohort study

文献详情

资源类型:
WOS体系:
Pubmed体系:

收录情况: ◇ SCIE

机构: [1]Xuzhou Med Univ, Affiliated Huaian Hosp, Dept Gen Surg, Huaian, Jiangsu, Peoples R China [2]Capital Med Univ, Xuanwu Hosp, Dept Gen Surg, Beijing, Peoples R China [3]Capital Med Univ, Clin Ctr Acute Pancreatitis, Beijing, Peoples R China [4]Xuzhou Med Univ, Dept Gen Surg, Affiliated Hosp, 99 Huaihai West Rd, Xuzhou 221132, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
出处:
ISSN:

关键词: Acute pancreatitis scoring system mortality prognosis critically ill

摘要:
Background: This study compared eight scoring systems for predicting 28-day and 1-year all-cause mortality in critically ill patients with acute pancreatitis (AP). Methods: Data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV were used to conduct a comparative analysis of several predictive scoring systems. Predictive performance for 28-day and 1-year mortality was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves (area under the curve [AUC]), restricted cubic splines (RCS) for nonlinearity testing, and multivariable logistic regression for independent predictor analysis. Results: A total of 694 patients were included (28-day mortality: 15.56%; 1-year mortality: 24.78%). Acute Physiology Score III (APSIII) demonstrated the highest accuracy for 28-day mortality (AUC: 0.847, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.808-0.886), followed by Bedside Index for Severity in Acute Pancreatitis (BISAP) (AUC: 0.835, 95% CI: 0.794-0.875). Linear relationships between scores and 28-day mortality were confirmed (all p for nonlinear > 0.05). Multivariable regression identified APSIII and BISAP as independent 28-day mortality predictors. For 1-year mortality, APSIII, BISAP, and Simplified Acute Physiology Score II (SAPS II) were independent predictors. Conclusions: Both APSIII and BISAP were identified as independent predictors of 28-day mortality, while APSIII, BISAP, and SAPSII were associated with 1-year mortality. Among them, APSIII showed the best overall discriminative ability for both short- and long-term outcomes. However, BISAP remains an attractive alternative for its simplicity and comparable performance.

语种:
WOS:
PubmedID:
中科院(CAS)分区:
出版当年[2025]版:
大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 胃肠肝病学
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 胃肠肝病学
JCR分区:
出版当年[2023]版:
Q3 GASTROENTEROLOGY & HEPATOLOGY
最新[2024]版:
Q3 GASTROENTEROLOGY & HEPATOLOGY

影响因子: 最新[2024版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2023版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2022版] 出版后一年[2024版]

第一作者:
第一作者机构: [1]Xuzhou Med Univ, Affiliated Huaian Hosp, Dept Gen Surg, Huaian, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
共同第一作者:
通讯作者:
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
APA:
MLA:

资源点击量:18052 今日访问量:0 总访问量:985 更新日期:2025-09-01 建议使用谷歌、火狐浏览器 常见问题

版权所有©2020 首都医科大学宣武医院 技术支持:重庆聚合科技有限公司 地址:北京市西城区长椿街45号宣武医院