机构:[1]Clinical Laboratory, First Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, Shaanxi 710061, China[2]Department of Clinical Laboratory Center, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing 100029, China医技科室检验科首都医科大学附属安贞医院
Background: The early identification of heart failure (HF) risk may favorably affect outcomes, and the combination of multiple biomarkers may provide a more comprehensive and valuable means for improving the risk of stratification. This study was conducted to assess the importance of individual cardiac biomarkers creatine kinase MB isoenzyme (CK-MB), B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP), galectin-3 (Gal-3) and soluble suppression of tumorigenicity-2 (sST2) for HF diagnosis, and the predictive performance of the combination of these four biomarkers was analyzed using random forest algorithms. Methods: A total of 193 participants (80 patients with HF and 113 age- and gender-matched healthy controls) were included from June 2017 to December 2017. The correlation and regression analysis were conducted between cardiac biomarkers and echocardiographic parameters. The accuracy and importance of these predictor variables were assessed using random forest algorithms. Results: Patients with HF exhibited significantly higher levels of CK-MB, BNP, Gal-3, and sST2. BNP exhibited a good independent predictive capacity for HF (AUC 0.956). However, CK-MB, sST2, and Gal-3 exhibited a modest diagnostic performance for HF, with an AUC of 0.709, 0.711, and 0.777, respectively. BNP was the most important variable, with a remarkably higher mean decrease accuracy and Gini. Furthermore, there was a general increase in predictive performance using the multi-marker model, and the sensitivity, specificity was 91.5% and 96.7%, respectively. Conclusion: The random forest algorithm provides a robust method to assess the accuracy and importance of predictor variables. The combination of CK-MB, BNP, Gal-3, and sST2 achieves improvement in prediction accuracy for HF.
基金:
National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaNational Natural Science Foundation of China [81770353]; Abbott China research fund (ADD-2017)
第一作者机构:[1]Clinical Laboratory, First Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, Shaanxi 710061, China[2]Department of Clinical Laboratory Center, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing Institute of Heart, Lung and Blood Vessel Diseases, Beijing 100029, China
通讯作者:
通讯机构:[1]Clinical Laboratory, First Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, Shaanxi 710061, China[*1]Clinical Laboratory, First Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University, No. 277 Yanta West Road, Xi’an, Shaanxi 710061, China
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
Hui Yuan,Xue-Song Fan,Yang Jin,et al.Development of heart failure risk prediction models based on a multi-marker approach using random forest algorithms[J].CHINESE MEDICAL JOURNAL.2019,132(7):819-826.doi:10.1097/CM9.0000000000000149.
APA:
Hui Yuan,Xue-Song Fan,Yang Jin,Jian-Xun He,Yuan Gui...&Wei Chen.(2019).Development of heart failure risk prediction models based on a multi-marker approach using random forest algorithms.CHINESE MEDICAL JOURNAL,132,(7)
MLA:
Hui Yuan,et al."Development of heart failure risk prediction models based on a multi-marker approach using random forest algorithms".CHINESE MEDICAL JOURNAL 132..7(2019):819-826