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Comparison of different intensive care scoring systems and Glasgow Aneurysm score for aortic aneurysm in predicting 28-day mortality: a retrospective cohort study from MIMIC-IV database

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机构: [1]Department of Vascular Surgery, Xuanwu Hospital, Capital Medical University, No. 45, Changchun Street, Beijing 100053, China [2]Tianjin University and Health-Biotech United Group Joint Laboratory of Innovative Drug Development and Translational Medicine, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China [3]School of Pharmaceutical Science and Technology, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China
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关键词: MIMIC-IV database Aortic aneurysms Intensive care unit Scoring systems Mortality

摘要:
This study aims to assess the performance of various scoring systems in predicting the 28-day mortality of patients with aortic aneurysms (AA) admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU).We utilized data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV (MIMIC-IV) to perform a comparative analysis of various predictive systems, including the Glasgow Aneurysm Score (GAS), Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS) III, SAPS II, Logical Organ Dysfunction System (LODS), Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA), Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome (SIRS), and The Oxford Acute Illness Severity Score (OASIS). The discrimination abilities of these systems were compared using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Additionally, a 4-knotted restricted cubic spline regression was employed to evaluate the association between the different scoring systems and the risk of 28-day mortality. Finally, we conducted a subgroup analysis focusing on patients with abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAA).This study enrolled 586 patients with AA (68.39% male). Among them, 26 patients (4.4%) died within 28 days. Comparative analysis revealed higher SAPS II, SAPS III, SOFA, LODS, OASIS, and SIRS scores in the deceased group, while no statistically significant difference was observed in GAS scores between the survivor and deceased groups (P = 0.148). The SAPS III system exhibited superior predictive value for the 28-day mortality rate (AUROC 0.805) compared to the LODS system (AUROC 0.771), SOFA (AUROC 0.757), SAPS II (AUROC 0.759), OASIS (AUROC 0.742), SIRS (AUROC 0.638), and GAS (AUROC 0.586) systems. The results of the univariate and multivariate logistic analyses showed that SAPS III was statistically significant for both 28-day and 1-year mortality. Subgroup analyses yielded results consistent with the overall findings. No nonlinear relationship was identified between these scoring systems and 28-day all-cause mortality (P for nonlinear > 0.05).The SAPS III system demonstrated superior discriminatory ability for both 28-day and 1-year mortality compared to the GAS, SAPS II SIRS, SOFA, and OASIS systems among patients with AA.© 2024. The Author(s).

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出版当年[2023]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 心脏和心血管系统
最新[2025]版:
大类 | 3 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 心脏和心血管系统
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出版当年[2022]版:
Q3 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS
最新[2024]版:
Q2 CARDIAC & CARDIOVASCULAR SYSTEMS

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第一作者机构: [1]Department of Vascular Surgery, Xuanwu Hospital, Capital Medical University, No. 45, Changchun Street, Beijing 100053, China
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