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External Validation of the iScore for Predicting Ischemic Stroke Mortality in Patients in China

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机构: [1]Hebei Med Univ, Dept Neurol, Hosp 2, Shijiazhuang 050000, Hebei Province, Peoples R China; [2]Capital Med Univ, Dept Neurol, Beijing Tiantan Hosp, Beijing, Peoples R China; [3]Inst Clin Evaluat Sci, Cardiovasc Program, Toronto, ON, Canada; [4]Hebei Med Univ, Dept Neurol, Hosp 2, 215 Heping West Rd, Shijiazhuang 050000, Hebei Province, Peoples R China
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关键词: brain infarction outcomes prognosis risk factors

摘要:
Background and Purpose-The iScore is a prediction tool developed to estimate the risk of death in patients after hospitalization for an acute ischemic stroke. Our aim was to determine the accuracy of the iScore in patients with ischemic stroke in China. Methods-The iScore was used to predict 30-day mortality rate in 11 656 patients and 1-year mortality rate in 11 051 patients with acute ischemic stroke. These patients were identified from the China National Stroke Registry (CNSR) data set. Model discrimination was quantified by calculating the C statistic. The calibration was assessed using Pearson correlation coefficient. Results-The 30-day and 1-year mortality rates were 5.4% and 14.3%, respectively. The C statistics were 0.825 (95% confidence interval, 0.807-0.843) for 30-day mortality and 0.822 (95% confidence interval, 0.810-0.833) for 1-year mortality. The plots of observed versus predicted mortality rates showed excellent model calibration in the external validation samples from the CNSR (Pearson correlation coefficient, 0.925 for 30-day and 0.998 for 1-year mortality; both P<0.0001). Conclusions-The iScore reliably predicts 30-day and 1-year mortality in Chinese patients with ischemic stroke.

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出版当年[2012]版:
大类 | 2 区 医学
小类 | 2 区 临床神经病学 2 区 外周血管病
最新[2023]版:
大类 | 1 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 临床神经病学 1 区 外周血管病
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出版当年[2011]版:
Q1 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY Q1 PERIPHERAL VASCULAR DISEASE
最新[2023]版:
Q1 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY Q1 PERIPHERAL VASCULAR DISEASE

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2011版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2010版] 出版后一年[2012版]

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第一作者机构: [1]Hebei Med Univ, Dept Neurol, Hosp 2, Shijiazhuang 050000, Hebei Province, Peoples R China;
通讯作者:
通讯机构: [1]Hebei Med Univ, Dept Neurol, Hosp 2, Shijiazhuang 050000, Hebei Province, Peoples R China; [4]Hebei Med Univ, Dept Neurol, Hosp 2, 215 Heping West Rd, Shijiazhuang 050000, Hebei Province, Peoples R China
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