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A Risk Score Based on Get With the Guidelines-Stroke Program Data Works in Patients With Acute Ischemic Stroke in China

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机构: [1]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Tiantan Hosp, Dept Neurol, Beijing 100050, Peoples R China; [2]Hebei Med Univ, Hosp 2, Dept Neurol, Shijiazhuang, Hebei Province, Peoples R China; [3]Inst Clin Evaluat Sci, Toronto, ON, Canada; [4]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Tiantan Hosp, Dept Neurol, 6 Tian Tan Xi Li, Beijing 100050, Peoples R China
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关键词: brain infarction outcomes prognosis risk factors

摘要:
Background and Purpose-There are few validated models for prediction of -in--hospital mortality after acute ischemic stroke. In 2010, Smith et al developed and internally validated models for predicting -in--hospital mortality based on Get With the GuidelinesStroke program data. We demonstrate the applicability of this Get With the Guidelines risk model in Chinese patients. Methods-The prognostic model was used to predict survival in 7015 patients with acute ischemic stroke from China National Stroke Registry data set. Model discrimination was quantified by calculating C statistic. To clarify the role of National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS), we also calculated the C statistics for NIHSS alone and for the model without NIHSS. Results-The C statistic was 0.867 (95% CI, 0.839-0.895) through the Get With the Guidelines risk model, suggesting good discrimination in the China National Stroke Registry. The model without NIHSS produced significantly lower C statistic (0.735; 95% CI, 0.701-0.770; P<0.001), indicating the important role of NIHSS in the prediction of survival. Furthermore, a model with NIHSS alone also provided significant discrimination (C statistic, 0.847; 95% CI, 0.816-0.879). A plot of observed versus predicted mortality showed excellent model calibration in the external validation sample from the China National Stroke Registry. Conclusions-The Get With the Guidelines risk model could correctly predict -in--hospital mortality in Chinese patients with ischemic stroke. In addition, the NIHSS provides substantial incremental information on a patient's -short--term mortality risk and is the strongest predictor of mortality. (Stroke. 2012; 43: 3108-3109.)

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出版当年[2011]版:
大类 | 1 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 临床神经病学 2 区 外周血管病
最新[2023]版:
大类 | 1 区 医学
小类 | 1 区 临床神经病学 1 区 外周血管病
JCR分区:
出版当年[2010]版:
Q1 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY Q1 PERIPHERAL VASCULAR DISEASE
最新[2023]版:
Q1 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY Q1 PERIPHERAL VASCULAR DISEASE

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2010版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2009版] 出版后一年[2011版]

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第一作者机构: [2]Hebei Med Univ, Hosp 2, Dept Neurol, Shijiazhuang, Hebei Province, Peoples R China;
通讯作者:
通讯机构: [1]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Tiantan Hosp, Dept Neurol, Beijing 100050, Peoples R China; [4]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Tiantan Hosp, Dept Neurol, 6 Tian Tan Xi Li, Beijing 100050, Peoples R China
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