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A Comparison of Mortality Prognostic Scores in Ischemic Stroke Patients

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机构: [1]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Tiantan Hosp, Dept Neurol, Beijing, Peoples R China; [2]China Natl Clin Res Ctr Neurol Dis, Beijing, Peoples R China; [3]Beijing Inst Brain Disorders, Ctr Stroke, Beijing, Peoples R China; [4]Beijing Key Lab Translat Med Cerebrovasc Dis, Beijing, Peoples R China; [5]Zhengzhou Univ, Dept Neurol, Affiliated Hosp 1, Zhengzhou, Henan, Peoples R China; [6]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Tiantan Hosp, Dept Neurol, Natl Clin Res Ctr Neurol Dis, 6 Tiantanxili, Beijing 100050, Peoples R China
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关键词: Ischemic stroke mortality prognosis risk factor

摘要:
Objective: Our objective is to compare the predictive accuracy of 4 recently established stroke mortality scores in the Chinese population, including the Get With The Guidelines-Stroke risk score, the iScore prediction rule for 30-day mortality, the iScore prediction rule for 1-year mortality, and the PLAN score. Methods: We analyzed data from 9698 hospitalized patients with acute ischemic stroke in the China National Stroke Registry (September 2007-August 2008). Outcome measures were in-hospital mortality, 30-day mortality, and 1-year mortality. To evaluate the performance of each model, we calculated the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. The areas under the curve (AUCs) were compared using the z-test. Results: Among 9698 patients, the mean age was 65.5 years and 38.6% were female. Overall in-hospital mortality, 30-day mortality, and 1-year mortality were 3.0%, 5.9%, and 14.6%, respectively. The AUC values of 4 scores for each outcome were all more than .75. The z-test did not show significant difference among the AUC values of these 4 scores. For patients who received thrombolysis therapy, these 4 scores had apparent reductions in the AUC values. Conclusions: We could confirm the predictive value of all these 4 scores for short-term and long-term mortalities in Chinese IS patients. However, these 4 scores need to be interpreted with caution in the patients who received thrombolysis therapy.

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出版当年[2015]版:
大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 神经科学 4 区 外周血管病
最新[2023]版:
大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 神经科学 4 区 外周血管病
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出版当年[2014]版:
Q4 NEUROSCIENCES Q4 PERIPHERAL VASCULAR DISEASE
最新[2023]版:
Q3 NEUROSCIENCES Q3 PERIPHERAL VASCULAR DISEASE

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2014版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2013版] 出版后一年[2015版]

第一作者:
第一作者机构: [1]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Tiantan Hosp, Dept Neurol, Beijing, Peoples R China; [2]China Natl Clin Res Ctr Neurol Dis, Beijing, Peoples R China; [3]Beijing Inst Brain Disorders, Ctr Stroke, Beijing, Peoples R China; [4]Beijing Key Lab Translat Med Cerebrovasc Dis, Beijing, Peoples R China;
通讯作者:
通讯机构: [1]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Tiantan Hosp, Dept Neurol, Beijing, Peoples R China; [2]China Natl Clin Res Ctr Neurol Dis, Beijing, Peoples R China; [3]Beijing Inst Brain Disorders, Ctr Stroke, Beijing, Peoples R China; [4]Beijing Key Lab Translat Med Cerebrovasc Dis, Beijing, Peoples R China; [6]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Tiantan Hosp, Dept Neurol, Natl Clin Res Ctr Neurol Dis, 6 Tiantanxili, Beijing 100050, Peoples R China
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