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Validation of the Essen Stroke Risk Score in different subtypes of ischemic stroke

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机构: [1]Capital Med Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Hlth Stat, Beijing, Peoples R China; [2]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Tiantan Hosp, Dept Neurol, Beijing, Peoples R China; [3]China Natl Clin Res Ctr Neurol Dis, Beijing, Peoples R China; [4]Beijing Inst Brain Disorders, Ctr Stroke, Beijing, Peoples R China; [5]Beijing Key Lab Translat Med Cerebrovasc Dis, Beijing, Peoples R China; [6]Wayne State Univ, Sch Med, Dept Neurosurg, Detroit, MI USA; [7]Beijing Municipal Sci & Technol Commiss, Beijing, Peoples R China
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关键词: ESRS ischemic stroke outcome predict model

摘要:
Objective: Predictive scores are important tools for stratifying patients based on their risk of future vascular events and for selecting preventive therapies. The aim of this study is to validate the Essen Stroke Risk Score (ESRS) for stratifying stroke recurrence in different subtypes of non-atrial fibrillation ischemic stroke in a large Chinese cohort. Methods: Data were derived from the Blood pressure and clinical Outcome in Stroke Survivors registry, which includes a cohort of 2204 stroke patients. All patients were further classified according to the TOAST (Trial of Org 10172 in Acute Stroke Treatment) criteria. We stratified one-year cumulative rates for stroke and composite vascular events using the ESRS. The predictive power of the ESRS was assessed using the area under the receiver-operator curves (AUC). Results: Among 1699 patients included in the study, the AUC of ESRS was 0.58 (95% CI: 0.52-0.64) for recurrent stroke, whereas 0.59 (95% CI: 0.53-0.64) for composite vascular events at 1year. In patients with large-artery atherosclerosis (LAA) subtype of stroke, the AUC of ESRS was both 0.61 (95% CI: 0.54-0.68) for recurrent stroke and composite vascular events. However, no significant AUC was observed in patients with small-artery occlusion subtype of stroke. Conclusions: In patients with LAA subtype of non-atrial fibrillation stroke, the ESRS has moderate accuracy in stratifying the risk of both recurrent strokes and major vascular events within the first year. However, the ESRS couldn't accurately stratify the risk of recurrent strokes in patients with small-artery atherosclerosis subtype of non-atrial fibrillation stroke.

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出版当年[2016]版:
大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 临床神经病学 4 区 神经科学
最新[2023]版:
大类 | 4 区 医学
小类 | 4 区 临床神经病学 4 区 神经科学
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出版当年[2015]版:
Q4 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY Q4 NEUROSCIENCES
最新[2023]版:
Q3 CLINICAL NEUROLOGY Q4 NEUROSCIENCES

影响因子: 最新[2023版] 最新五年平均 出版当年[2015版] 出版当年五年平均 出版前一年[2014版] 出版后一年[2016版]

第一作者:
第一作者机构: [1]Capital Med Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Hlth Stat, Beijing, Peoples R China;
通讯作者:
通讯机构: [1]Capital Med Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Hlth Stat, Beijing, Peoples R China; [2]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Tiantan Hosp, Dept Neurol, Beijing, Peoples R China; [3]China Natl Clin Res Ctr Neurol Dis, Beijing, Peoples R China; [4]Beijing Inst Brain Disorders, Ctr Stroke, Beijing, Peoples R China; [5]Beijing Key Lab Translat Med Cerebrovasc Dis, Beijing, Peoples R China; [7]Beijing Municipal Sci & Technol Commiss, Beijing, Peoples R China
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