Objective: Predictive scores are important tools for stratifying patients based on their risk of future vascular events and for selecting preventive therapies. The aim of this study is to validate the Essen Stroke Risk Score (ESRS) for stratifying stroke recurrence in different subtypes of non-atrial fibrillation ischemic stroke in a large Chinese cohort. Methods: Data were derived from the Blood pressure and clinical Outcome in Stroke Survivors registry, which includes a cohort of 2204 stroke patients. All patients were further classified according to the TOAST (Trial of Org 10172 in Acute Stroke Treatment) criteria. We stratified one-year cumulative rates for stroke and composite vascular events using the ESRS. The predictive power of the ESRS was assessed using the area under the receiver-operator curves (AUC). Results: Among 1699 patients included in the study, the AUC of ESRS was 0.58 (95% CI: 0.52-0.64) for recurrent stroke, whereas 0.59 (95% CI: 0.53-0.64) for composite vascular events at 1year. In patients with large-artery atherosclerosis (LAA) subtype of stroke, the AUC of ESRS was both 0.61 (95% CI: 0.54-0.68) for recurrent stroke and composite vascular events. However, no significant AUC was observed in patients with small-artery occlusion subtype of stroke. Conclusions: In patients with LAA subtype of non-atrial fibrillation stroke, the ESRS has moderate accuracy in stratifying the risk of both recurrent strokes and major vascular events within the first year. However, the ESRS couldn't accurately stratify the risk of recurrent strokes in patients with small-artery atherosclerosis subtype of non-atrial fibrillation stroke.
基金:
Ministry of Science and Technology of the People's Republic of ChinaMinistry of Science and Technology, China [2013BAI09B03, 2013BAI09B14, 2015BAI12B04, 2015BAI12B02]; Beijing Biobank of Cerebral Vascular Disease [D131100005313003]; Beijing Institute for Brain Disorders [1152130306]; National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaNational Natural Science Foundation of China [81322019]; Beijing Municipal Science and Technology CommissionBeijing Municipal Science & Technology Commission [D131100002313002, D151100002015001, D151100002015002, D151100002015003, Z15110200390000, Z151100003915117]; Beijing Municipal Commission of Health and Family Planning [2016-1-2041, SML20150502]
第一作者机构:[1]Capital Med Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Hlth Stat, Beijing, Peoples R China;
通讯作者:
通讯机构:[1]Capital Med Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Dept Epidemiol & Hlth Stat, Beijing, Peoples R China;[2]Capital Med Univ, Beijing Tiantan Hosp, Dept Neurol, Beijing, Peoples R China;[3]China Natl Clin Res Ctr Neurol Dis, Beijing, Peoples R China;[4]Beijing Inst Brain Disorders, Ctr Stroke, Beijing, Peoples R China;[5]Beijing Key Lab Translat Med Cerebrovasc Dis, Beijing, Peoples R China;[7]Beijing Municipal Sci & Technol Commiss, Beijing, Peoples R China
推荐引用方式(GB/T 7714):
Liu Yi,Wang Yongjun,Li William A.,et al.Validation of the Essen Stroke Risk Score in different subtypes of ischemic stroke[J].NEUROLOGICAL RESEARCH.2017,39(6):504-508.doi:10.1080/01616412.2017.1313364.
APA:
Liu, Yi,Wang, Yongjun,Li, William A.,Yan, Aoshuang&Wang, Yilong.(2017).Validation of the Essen Stroke Risk Score in different subtypes of ischemic stroke.NEUROLOGICAL RESEARCH,39,(6)
MLA:
Liu, Yi,et al."Validation of the Essen Stroke Risk Score in different subtypes of ischemic stroke".NEUROLOGICAL RESEARCH 39..6(2017):504-508